Trading Plan for 04_18....

luckystar2006

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-18 08:57 AM
往上的力度太猛了。。

If you look at market breadth indicators closely, you will realize that they aren't as strong as market suggesting.  I'll wait for some reliable swing signals kicking in so I can go in to buy puts again.

trend

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-18 09:11 AM
If you look at market breadth indicators closely, you will realize that they aren't as strong as m ...

maybe it's now, feel bulls are to scare bears away, that's the purpose, after that they will rest

风行过

208.6 肯定要碰下吧？突破点吓吓熊。 至少一个doubel head.

luckyfox

我觉得这里会突破208.6，其实日线早就需要回调了，但是一直不肯，这里离209非常近，所以209应该不会有太大的阻力突破，但是210估计不会那么顺利。下周是FED会议，所以之前不会有太大的调整。大幅度的调整，可能会在5月吧。今天如果尾盘或者下午2点走有这样还可以理解，难道开始就这样，一天能维持住吗？

风行过

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-18 09:22 AM
我觉得这里会突破208.6，其实日线早就需要回调了，但是一直不肯，这里离209非常近，所以209应该不会有太大的 ...

同意。naz 一月4的缺口到现在都没补。也是就这么一点点。 这周tech的季报。都是可以作为大动作的借口。

还有种可能是在这先下去， FED 会议后再上来新高。反正一定要做到熊熊缴械投降。

luckystar2006

Here is my strategy:  I believe there is another up leg after any small pulling back because we already got 3 down legs (green circle).  So, I won't buy any puts until I see ntraday signals confirmed on 2nd up leg.

风行过

日线今天走到这是太强了。看后面怎么走。

今天现在adv-dec 基本上flat. internal 不强。breadth 1.3 NYSE, 1.45 NASD 也不强。

trend

this push up speed can't be sustained for sure, pull back is unavoidable

luckystar2006

I believe this is where we've first pull-back leg.  I'll skip this skinny fish.

luckyfox

风行过 发表于 2016-4-18 09:32 AM
同意。naz 一月4的缺口到现在都没补。也是就这么一点点。 这周tech的季报。都是可以作为大动作的借口。 ...

时间不到，这轮上涨周期最快要到周四或者周五才结束。感觉中间的都是小调整

luckyfox

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-18 09:34 AM
Here is my strategy:  I believe there is another up leg after any small pulling back because we alre ...

老大你说的2ND UP LEG，是指第二次GAP UP吗？下面205-206那个算第一个GAP UP?

风行过

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-18 09:46 AM
时间不到，这轮上涨周期最快要到周四或者周五才结束。感觉中间的都是小调整

you always get me confused with little ! because your guys avatar.

luckyfox

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-18 09:49 AM
老大你说的2ND UP LEG，是指第二次GAP UP吗？下面205-206那个算第一个GAP UP?

那能不能解释下，2ND UP LEG是啥意思啊？

trend

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-18 09:46 AM
I believe this is where we've first pull-back leg.  I'll skip this skinny fish.

you are too careful to be trapped even by a small one

luckyfox

风行过 发表于 2016-4-18 09:50 AM
you always get me confused with little ! because your guys avatar.

呵呵，其实涨和跌都需要时间和空间的共振。现在小回调很难抓的，风险很大。。。突破2090了刚刚

luckystar2006

luckyfox 发表于 2016-4-18 09:52 AM
那能不能解释下，2ND UP LEG是啥意思啊？

It's an Elliot wave counting thing, which master Cobra normally applies to this intraday chart analysis.  If you follow him long enough, you will often hear from him the phrase "3 down legs & 2 up legs"

luckyfox

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-4-18 10:00 AM
It's an Elliot wave counting thing, which master Cobra normally applies to this intraday chart ana ...

老大听到你这么说我心里凉了。。。3DOWN AND 2 UP，这是ABC下跌浪啊。。。3 UP AND 2 DOWN 才是上涨，那么如果现在是下跌的，如果第二个UP后，那个DOWN应该是最后一个了吧，然后会继续上行。。。。这样哪里还有大回调啊。。

luckystar2006

Just bought 50 puts (very small amount) to test out water here for day trading

trend

mad cow now, hopefully it calm down in the afternoon, bears got hard squeezed today.

luckystar2006

Still holding onto my puts here