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发表于 2014-9-12 05:13 PM
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Here's the current situation about intermediate-term trend (so not a day trade topic here).
market moves this way: breakout->channel->range->breakout... Flag counts as range, so we're in range. next stage is breakout.
but unfortunately, a breakout from range can be either direction. at the current stage, we don't know.
since the daily trend still is up, so when not sure, always assume the breakout would be resume the current trend.
according to the assumption above, assume the range as bull flag for now may have better chances.
bears on the other hand, need a sharp breakout to break the range and give us a clear signal that now they're in control.
So far, I don't see clear bear breakout.
I don't mean bears are over, I just mean bears' actions so far are not enough, I need see more. |
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