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楼主: Cobra

[灌水] 09/12/2014 Live Update

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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 03:15 PM | 显示全部楼层


回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2014-9-12 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
Cobra 发表于 2014-9-12 03:15 PM
members only update at 12:15 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/09122014-intra-day-update/


newbie question:

bull flag is formed by lower high and lower low, so why it is bullish?  
LH and LL isn't bearish?

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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 03:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
testing range low, might not hold, I guess. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170847#p170847
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发表于 2014-9-12 03:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
ES 双底 1977。
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 03:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
vol surge, might see rebound here first then we'll see. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170849#p170849
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发表于 2014-9-12 03:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
my 1985...
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 03:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
double top target met. now we have 100% mm. still think a rebound first. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170853#p170853
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发表于 2014-9-12 04:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2014-9-12 04:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
come on, at least hold 1980 for today.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 04:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
target met. vol surge, may see rebound or consolidation here first, then we'll see. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170858#p170858
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 04:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 05:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
rebound so far looks like a bear flag. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170861#p170861
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 05:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
Here's the current situation about intermediate-term trend (so not a day trade topic here).

market moves this way: breakout->channel->range->breakout... Flag counts as range, so we're in range. next stage is breakout.

but unfortunately, a breakout from range can be either direction. at the current stage, we don't know.

since the daily trend still is up, so when not sure, always assume the breakout would be resume the current trend.

according to the assumption above, assume the range as bull flag for now may have better chances.

bears on the other hand, need a sharp breakout to break the range and give us a clear signal that now they're in control.

So far, I don't see clear bear breakout.

I don't mean bears are over, I just mean bears' actions so far are not enough, I need see more.

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发表于 2014-9-12 06:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
1985 撐住.
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发表于 2014-9-12 06:39 PM | 显示全部楼层
再撐20 mins.
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 06:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
this rebound might have legs. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=170883#p170883
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 楼主| 发表于 2014-9-12 06:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
ysc 发表于 2014-9-12 02:30 PM
newbie question:

bull flag is formed by lower high and lower low, so why it is bullish?  

explained on #33.
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发表于 2014-9-12 06:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
leg broken?  
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发表于 2014-9-12 06:47 PM | 显示全部楼层
Cobra 发表于 2014-9-12 06:44 PM
explained on #33.

thanks!
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发表于 2014-9-12 06:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
ysc 发表于 2014-9-12 06:45 PM
leg broken?

never question Cobra's call.  
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