Forex/Futures ST for Week 5/27-5/31

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-27 11:49 PM
Okay first order filled, second to come ...

老大买多的是NKD还是USD/JPY?

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 01:07 AM
老大买多的是NKD还是USD/JPY?

NKD ... of course we have to look at both. I remained bullish because USD/JPY wasn't able to make a new low.

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 01:07 AM
老大买多的是NKD还是USD/JPY?

The exit plan is a lower high on the daily chart ...

If you have been following Cobra on TA, you'll know that the very first pullback is safe to buy since investors/traders usually want to try the high at least twice, i.e the top is formed only when a lower high can be made. Of course NKD may be just going through an "inflection point" if a higher high can be made the second time.

The problem of buying dip is operational, i.e., you don't know how low is the low enough, so have to keep trying with a tight stop loss.

But, I've learned my lesson of being impatient, AGAIN! This is a psychological issue when I'm 100% cash.

greenback

SPX is doing great ... posted to break out ...

greenback

Amazing! The bullish sentiment is being carried all the way from Asia to America!

Our second buy order is also triggered. The third is pending. Every order is 1/4 of the total position.

greenback

One thing bulls should keep in mind is that the market is pricing in a tapering QE_infinity right now as shown by the fast declining bond prices.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-28 12:59 AM
The exit plan is a lower high on the daily chart ...

If you have been following Cobra on TA, yo ...

NKD的图走劣了，不好看。USA/JPY走得很TA.

hahaa

ES_1h

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 10:51 AM
NKD的图走劣了，不好看。USA/JPY走得很TA.

Let's pay close attention to JPY. If 102 can't hold, the long NKD should be closed.

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-28 10:43 AM
Let's pay close attention to JPY. If 102 can't hold, the long NKD should be closed.

因为有ES，没敢再加NKD或USD/JPY。

对ST，27#图那根上升楔形的下轨可能会再碰一下再向上？

hahaa

ES埋颗DT的多单地雷： +1658，st @1654.

greenback

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 12:36 PM
ES埋颗DT的多单地雷： +1658，st @1654.

It looks that the revisit of the high has been made. Too bad for the bulls! There should be at least a back test of the low on the 5/4-hour charts:

However, the intermediate term should be good since money is coming out of bonds.

greenback

Of course, let's wait for the line to be taken out first. I'm neutral. My longs were stopped out flat (averaged over both orders).

hahaa

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 11:36 AM
ES埋颗DT的多单地雷： +1658，st @1654.

多单地雷响了，直接又被止损掉了。

2小时图牛牛不妙了，等这根13：00的2小时蜡烛出尽，如果还收在这里，我就清抄底的多单，开始卖空。不过，可能还应该有向上一腿？

hahaa

greenback 发表于 2013-5-28 01:32 PM
It looks that the revisit of the high has been made. Too bad for the bulls! There should be at lea ...

是滴是滴。
短期牛牛有点悬了。但我觉得这里向上可能还需要一腿测早上的高点再往下败，也许要明天早上了。

greenback

I will close 50% of PONDX, the mortgage backed securities, by the end of day.
Looks like the bond investors are coming out of fixed income assets.

hahaa

hahaa 发表于 2013-5-28 01:39 PM
多单地雷响了，直接又被止损掉了。

2小时图牛牛不妙了，等这根13：00的2小时蜡烛出尽，如果还收在这里 ...

短期（2小时图）牛牛形式不妙，但我的卖空信号并没有触发，所以我把前面抄底的多单设定止损1649。等明天牛熊再斗出个输赢。

greenback

First an update on the portfolio. Will update the market later ...

greenback

Here is a recap ... today's bar is not looking good for bulls, but let's wait for tomorrow ... After all, if it doesn't break out/down, it isn't. Note too DAX/RUSSELL/NIKKEI are having a decent day.

Our long in NIKKEI was stop out flat and we are waiting for a backtest of the low to see whether we can long again.

greenback

What keep us with bulls for now is the movements of bonds, which are continuing their decline. Money seems to move out of bonds overall. That's why we have closed 50% in our fixed income holding, PONDX, which is still reasonably stable compared with other forms of bond assets.