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Forex/Futures ST for Week 2/4-2/8

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-5 10:22 AM | 显示全部楼层


MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-4 12:47 PM
es 1492准备闭眼跳进了。

ES stop 1392.25. 牛牛必须加把劲儿,否则这个通道就破坏了。

2013-02-05-ES1h.png

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发表于 2013-2-5 02:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-5 06:22 AM
ES stop 1392.25. 牛牛必须加把劲儿,否则这个通道就破坏了。

Seems that you are getting it ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-5 03:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-5 03:30 PM
Seems that you are getting it ...

牛的日子也不太好过了,上面阻力重重。
2013-02-05-ES.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-5 03:30 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2013-2-5 04:32 PM 编辑

NG,虽然还认为周线向下, 但4小时图现在现在是向上的。
2013-02-05-ng.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-5 11:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
还是NG, 设定limit buy @ 3.40, st @3.35, pr 3.55.
上面那根白线应该会摸一下。
2013-02-05-ng.png

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发表于 2013-2-6 12:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
I find it even better to ride the trendiest assets ...

I'm shorting JPY with stop loss at yesterday's high so far ...

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发表于 2013-2-6 12:13 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-2-5 08:18 PM 编辑

I'm watching the following trending assets:

jpy: good to go ...
emd: wait for a breakout of the base ...

jpy.png

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发表于 2013-2-6 12:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-2-5 08:17 PM 编辑

Here are lumber and euro ...

lumber: needs to wait for the base to finish ... euro also needs to wait for the break out of the S/R ahead ...
lbs.png

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不太看好LBS周线图,即使过了前高,浪要小心。  发表于 2013-2-6 01:22 AM

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发表于 2013-2-6 12:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 greenback 于 2013-2-5 08:16 PM 编辑

Here are cotton and palladium ...

Need to wait for a break out in cotton to start the position if you want ... palladium is good to go ...
ct.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 12:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-6 01:12 AM
I find it even better to ride the trendiest assets ...

I'm shorting JPY with stop loss at yesterd ...

怎么样?身体好些了吗?
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发表于 2013-2-6 12:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-5 08:16 PM
怎么样?身体好些了吗?

Getting better ...
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 12:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-6 01:13 AM
I'm watching the following trending assets:

jpy: good to go ...

6J, USD/JPY,没地儿下嘴啊。干着急。
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 12:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-6 01:14 AM
Here are cotton and palladium ...

Need to wait for a break out in cotton to start the position if ...

哈哈,老大也看这些小期货啦?CT盘一盘,还要涨。原来以为PA和GC差不多,但今天看来PA比GC强太多了。GC上上下下太忽悠了。
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发表于 2013-2-6 01:01 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-5 08:33 PM
6J, USD/JPY,没地儿下嘴啊。干着急。

You can set a buy/sell stop above/below previous day's high/low to start your position ... Or follow Al Brooks' L1/H1 set ups if it makes you feel a bit more comfortable. Make sure your signal bar is a fat and strong bull/bear bar as yesterday's.

Trend following means it's okay to go in any time when it's in a trend ... don't try to be smart ... Of course the stop loss is large: it has to be one day's bar range ... but the reward is huge!

I've finally realized it's always safer to buy strength/sell weakness ... and doing the above in trend following is exactly according to this fundamental principle in investment.

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发表于 2013-2-6 01:03 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-5 08:46 PM
哈哈,老大也看这些小期货啦?CT盘一盘,还要涨。原来以为PA和GC差不多,但今天看来PA比GC强太多了。GC上 ...

Well, they are trendier ... also we use daily bars and trade during regular hours ... this is not an issue any more ...

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 01:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-6 02:01 AM
You can set a buy/sell stop above/below previous day's high/low to start your position ... Or foll ...

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 01:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
老大一般用什么指标看buy strength/sell weakness ,是RSI, STO slow 吗?
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发表于 2013-2-6 02:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2013-2-5 09:28 PM
老大一般用什么指标看buy strength/sell weakness ,是RSI, STO slow 吗?


Very simple and intuitive, I just check whether ma20 along with the BB is going up ... next I check the smallest deviation/volatility ... finally the pullback if any is shallow within the trend.

You know what I mean: pick the nicest looking trend among all the symbols. I suppose this can be done for stock options too ... but they can't stay in a trend as long as an asset because the volatility is higher in stocks. So breakout is a higher chance trade for stocks.

We can also use Cobra's criterion for break out for the beginning of a new trend ...

1. First there should have been a strong trend and it has been going on for a while;
2. Second there is a base, or cup ... the longer the better;
3. Third, wait above the base with your order to catch the break out.

Short is simply the opposite ... the key is to stay on a trend as long as you can ... many of the assets fluctuate violently during european hours and you don't want to get shaken out. I tried 6J several times in ST but got stopped out flat even if I had good profits before getting kicked out because my stop losses were too close.

You found the same problem in GC. However, 6J is much much smoother than GC on daily chart! So a large stop loss really deserves it.

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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 10:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2013-2-6 03:45 AM
Very simple and intuitive, I just check whether ma20 along with the BB is going up ... next I ch ...

感谢绿大的详尽解答。

简单看了一下,核心是trend. 我们的中心想法完全一致,(trend is the king), 参考有些不同。

现在工作,晚上再仔细研究。再次感谢绿大。
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-2-6 10:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
2小时图不太妙。1501出手ES, 还没捂热就跑了。
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