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Forex/Futures ST for Week 09/02 - 09/07

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发表于 2012-9-3 10:14 PM | 显示全部楼层


本帖最后由 greenback 于 2012-9-4 11:39 AM 编辑
greenback 发表于 2012-9-3 07:01 PM
EURO is consistent with the risky assets, 100% target in the range of 1.27 ... but AUD is apparently ...


看图,AUD(6A, M6A)较弱,但觉着6A和ES是正相关,中期看多ES, 所以一直不敢做空M6A.
很奇怪, 6A, 6C, 6N都和ES正相关,但现在6C相对较强,而6C和6N都较弱。绿老大有什么解释吗?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-3 10:26 PM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-3 11:03 PM
/KC差不多该上冲了:前面有HH, 时间差不多了。如果本周收阳,应该可以进了。止赢可在200附近,值得关注。
...

Promising ... it seems that we can only trade it safely during regular hours.
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发表于 2012-9-3 10:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-3 11:26 PM
Promising ... it seems that we can only trade it safely during regular hours.

可惜/KC和/SB没有mini.  
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 10:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
The pull back in CL is too large, we are back into the range, so the call to buy the dip is OFF for now ...
cl.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 10:36 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-3 11:43 PM
可惜/KC和/SB没有mini.

I think if's okay to use the regular sized for ST if only using 1 contract. The swing is similar to 4 contracts in ES ... it actually save us trading cost.

点评

KC, SB量小,不好做。(容易受操控,即使方向正确,有时也很难拿住。)即使正在papertrading的联系,还是纠结。:D  发表于 2012-9-4 11:01 AM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 10:39 AM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-3 11:14 PM
看图,AUD(6A, M6A)较弱,但觉着6A和ES是正相关,中期看多ES, 所以一直不敢做空M6A.
很奇怪, 6A, 6 ...

6A, 6C, and 6N all have some correlations with the Chinese market. Also those material commodities ... but CL is more related to the US market, as is happening now due to the poor US ISM data.

点评

多谢。  发表于 2012-9-4 08:21 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 10:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
Also, stocks are now challenging the lower bound!
es.png nq.png

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 02:21 PM | 显示全部楼层
GOLD still good, and if you got up early this morning, you should have opened your long ... The stop loss is below Mon's low.
gc.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 02:42 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds seems to finished the small pull back from the double top last night, and are ready for starting the long ... let's wait for the bar to finish ...
zn.png zb.png
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发表于 2012-9-4 07:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
9:30pm EST AUD GDP.  possible impact ES too.
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发表于 2012-9-4 07:34 PM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-4 11:39 AM
6A, 6C, and 6N all have some correlations with the Chinese market. Also those material commodities ...

6A 和ES 现在correlation 比较弱.  
不过还是有点担心, 因为3月6A领先ES一个月见顶.  现在AUD 8月top差不多也有一个月了.小心为上.

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发表于 2012-9-4 08:29 PM | 显示全部楼层
90ufo 发表于 2012-9-4 08:18 PM
9:30pm EST AUD GDP.  possible impact ES too.

不明白这个?是AUD/GBP? 或6A, 6B?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 08:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
90ufo 发表于 2012-9-4 08:18 PM
9:30pm EST AUD GDP.  possible impact ES too.

SYDNEY (MarketWatch) -- Australia's economy grew 0.6% in the second quarter of 2012, according to data compiled by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. First-quarter gross domestic product growth was revised up to 1.4%, from a previous reading of 1.3%. Economists had been expecting GDP to grow 0.8% according to data compiled by Dow Jones Newswires, while Reuters had tipped a 0.7% rise. The Australian dollar traded at $1.0203 after the data, compared to $1.0210 earlier in the session.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 08:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
Asia is down like shit ...
Screen shot 2012-09-04 at 6.47.58 PM.png
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 08:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
MFTHT 发表于 2012-9-4 09:29 PM
不明白这个?是AUD/GBP? 或6A, 6B?

It's AUSSIE Gross Domestic Production (GDP). See the next post.

点评

多谢。  发表于 2012-9-4 08:55 PM
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 08:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
90ufo 发表于 2012-9-4 08:34 PM
6A 和ES 现在correlation 比较弱.  
不过还是有点担心, 因为3月6A领先ES一个月见顶.  现在AUD 8月top差不 ...

I guess my 1/8 of long on last Fri is gonna suffer. Fortunately it's just an unleveraged SPX index fund.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-4 09:46 PM | 显示全部楼层
Bonds are consolidating above the support ... I have a long ZB order to be filled at 151.01, target previous high, stop loss below 150.00, i.e. the next S/R level.

zb.png zn.png

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发表于 2012-9-4 10:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 MFTHT 于 2012-9-4 11:18 PM 编辑
greenback 发表于 2012-9-4 10:46 PM
Bonds are consolidating above the support ... I have a long ZB order to be filled at 151.01, target  ...


Thanks for sharing.
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发表于 2012-9-5 08:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
/HG上破头顶压力了,+3.51, 止损3.44, 止赢3.62.

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-9-5 08:59 AM | 显示全部楼层
greenback 发表于 2012-9-4 10:46 PM
Bonds are consolidating above the support ... I have a long ZB order to be filled at 151.01, target  ...

The order was filled, but now bonds made a lower high and lower low overnight. It's time to get out flat first ...
zb.png zn.png
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