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楼主: 鑫森淼焱垚

2012下半年灌水,懊悔,学习,交流及其他

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发表于 2012-8-2 04:12 PM | 显示全部楼层


NZX 发表于 2012-8-2 03:09 PM
五个字里俺居然认识四个。

这个牛! 俺最差了, 还有比俺差的吗?
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发表于 2012-8-2 04:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
abaqus 发表于 2012-8-2 05:12 PM
这个牛! 俺最差了, 还有比俺差的吗?

你是装傻。
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发表于 2012-8-2 04:20 PM | 显示全部楼层
abaqus 发表于 2012-8-2 05:12 PM
这个牛! 俺最差了, 还有比俺差的吗?

me! 俺不是也一个字都不认得么?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-3 10:07 AM | 显示全部楼层
Today's 24 points big gap up nullified the would-be swing top at 7/30.  From a TA point, this is because a potential energy of the swing from 7/24 to 7/30 has yet been exhausted.
So the market still has the potential to go up to 1410 or 1420 level early next week.
But this doesn't change the fact the terminal of the daily up swing is near.
It's kind of like braking a car. When the speed is very high, usually need double or triple
brakes to make it fully stopped.

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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-6 02:44 PM | 显示全部楼层
Seems a strong resistance above 1397. Now not sure if it can go above or not.
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发表于 2012-8-6 04:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 svca 于 2012-8-6 05:56 PM 编辑
鑫森淼焱垚 发表于 2012-8-6 03:44 PM
Seems a strong resistance above 1397. Now not sure if it can go above or not.


Few things are sure on the market indeed.  One of the sure things is that fewer people make profit in trading.
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发表于 2012-8-6 05:37 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-8-8 06:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
有更新观点的吗?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-8 07:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
hunting 发表于 2012-8-8 07:38 PM
有更新观点的吗?

For analysis part, it's no need for an update ba?  Market has its own course and will unfold as time goes.
All need to do is just to wait. Waiting is part of the business, isn't it? :)

For trading part, I'd like to mention one thing which I think is important.
One of the major reasons that many do not last very long in trading is their propensity to try to pick
tops/bottoms of fast trending markets. It never pays to buck the trend in the last stage of a bull or
bear market. However, market analysis is another story and is not the same thing with trading.

I've found its much safer and easier to enter a trade with some confirmation. For example, if someone
think 1400 level as a possible swing high, then s/he should wait for the entry until s/he sees the FIRST
lower high below the previous high with a stop in place above the previous high.

This is especially true for novices such as me.   Hope this would help.


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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-13 07:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
今天本周一,更新一下.
这几天走得很boring,胡同里灌水的人都没有了.

so, 明后天变盘?
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发表于 2012-8-14 11:10 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-16 10:04 AM | 显示全部楼层
1408本轮的高点了? 6/4---8/16? 给参天时间确认?
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-21 09:32 AM | 显示全部楼层
Today is the third day and also a Fed day. Will see if it can hold 1409 at close.
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发表于 2012-8-21 01:03 PM | 显示全部楼层
支持老大经常灌水,,先置顶
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-21 06:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 hunting 的帖子

此贴乃业余小散闲侃大盘,水平实在有限,谬误实在难免. 另,白天还有工作,难以保证更新即时.
为避免误导, 恳请版主撤销置顶, 让吾随意而为吧.
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-21 07:05 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 鑫森淼焱垚 于 2012-8-21 08:06 PM 编辑

Today's daily bar is an OOPS bar with some selling strength that I haven't seen since last week. However, bears still need confirmation to get in. The 1390 level is a decent support level. If the market can effectively break 1390 during the following several days, then bears have
the first confirmation for trend reversal. After below 1390 we should see some re-bounce
to form a lower high which could be used as a good opportunity to get in and catch the new trend.

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发表于 2012-8-21 07:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
鑫森淼焱垚 发表于 2012-8-21 06:49 PM
回复 hunting 的帖子

此贴乃业余小散闲侃大盘,水平实在有限,谬误实在难免. 另,白天还有工作,难以保证更新即 ...

不用怕,谁敢喷你我封谁。
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发表于 2012-8-21 08:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2012-8-21 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
Diffusion 发表于 2012-8-21 08:18 PM
不用怕,谁敢喷你我封谁。

偶倒不是怕人拍, 自己啥水平自己清楚,说错了还能不让人拍?
不过, 斑竹你这是把偶放火上烤阿.

先特别声明一下:
本人看走势十次能对个一二次, 本帖纯属灌水,不构成任何操作建议,交易有风险,唧唧的钱唧唧负责.

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发表于 2012-8-21 08:49 PM | 显示全部楼层
鑫森淼焱垚 发表于 2012-8-21 08:33 PM
偶倒不是怕人拍, 自己啥水平自己清楚,说错了还能不让人拍?
不过, 斑竹你这是把偶放火上烤阿.  
...

真金不怕火炼。

虽然有些人炼成了真金,有些人炼成了药渣。但是不炼永远成不了真金。
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