2012-07-W5

snowrider

偶就慢慢地 load 這新的二砲部隊 ... 這半天時間 load 了 1/4 多了!

snowrider

snowrider

The marking is forming a star pin today. Then probably it will start going down a bit tomorrow (purple line scenario).

snowrider

We bought EWS, XLF, and XHB today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big Troop:
- TLT 35% (10%-04/10, 15%-05/01, 10%-07/27)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 20%

SAC Troop:
- EWS (10%-07/30)
- XLF (10%-07/30)
- XHB (9%-07/30)
- Cash 71%

The market formed a star pin candlestick with light volume.  The 0.382 pullback area is 1368, and 0.5 pullback is 1360.  Our strategy should be buying dips!

Wave count (based on the latest purple line with a little bit update):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
Today's high = [C].I
The [C].II corrective wave has probably started.  We are in the middle of a big wave [C] to 1426 (or even to 1524).

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-30 01:22 PM
We bought EWS, XLF, and XHB today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big  ...

Thank you Snowrider.
Are we expecting pullback tomorrow?

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-7-30 04:23 PM
Thank you Snowrider.
Are we expecting pullback tomorrow?

I am very bullish in the medium term, so I hope that there will be a pullback for me to load my second troop (SAC Troop).

snowrider

I bot ITB with 6% dolloar allocation in my SAC troop just now.

lilitulip

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-31 09:27 AM
I bot ITB with 6% dolloar allocation in my SAC troop just now.

you got XHB, why also ITB? why suddenly so diversify? thanks

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-7-31 10:10 AM
you got XHB, why also ITB? why suddenly so diversify? thanks

I did not pay much attention on what they are ... so they are home related ETFs ...
I bot them simply because the risk/reward looked OK for me to bet.

snowrider

bucks

these two days are very boring

snowrider

I bot more EWS with 5%, ITB with 18%, XHB with 15%, XLF with 12% dolloar allocation in my SAC troop just now.

snowrider

We bought ITB and more EWS, XLF, and XHB today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Big Troop:
- TLT 35% (10%-04/10, 15%-05/01, 10%-07/27)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 20%

SAC Troop:
- EWS 15% (10%-07/30, 5%-07/31)
- XLF 22% (10%-07/30, 12%-07/31)
- XHB 24% (9%-07/30, 15%-07/31)
- ITB 24% (6%-07/31, 18%-07/31)
- Cash 15%

The market has started the expected pullback.  The targets for this corrective wave are: 1377 (0.236 - strong bull), 1368 (0.382 - normal bull), and 1360 (0.5 - slow bull).  Our strategy is still buying dips!

Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
07/30's high = [C].I
The corrective [C].II is underway, and it is going to end tomorrow.  We are in the middle of a big wave [C] to 1426 (or even to 1524 in the strongest scenario).

snowrider

lilitulip 发表于 2012-7-31 10:10 AM
you got XHB, why also ITB? why suddenly so diversify? thanks

If they are of identical charts, I will pick only one to trade.  Since their charts are different, I treat them as different stocks.

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-31 01:21 PM
We bought ITB and more EWS, XLF, and XHB today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's c ...

谢谢！今天也买了。四处看了看。熊声多过牛声。

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-7-31 09:11 PM
谢谢！今天也买了。四处看了看。熊声多过牛声。

Irene - 不要怕!  就偶的推測這個回調明天(週三)可能就結束(紫線) ... 偶猜它這次可能會跟前幾次不一樣:
前幾次是破高點後就下跌套牛 (看期指圖) - 06/19, 07/03, 07/19
所謂事不過三 - 所以這次破高點可能將不會是套牛 ... 而是真牛!

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-31 07:27 PM
Irene - 不要怕!  就偶的推測這個回調明天(週三)可能就結束(紫線) ... 偶猜它這次可能會跟前幾次不一樣:
...

谢谢鼓励！明天就应该见分晓了。：）

snowrider

今天開高盤  如果向下稍微殺一下破昨天低點  打個釘子(打樁)收下影線  那就對了!

时时是好时

RUT is too weak. Does it lead or lag the market!?

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-8-1 12:26 PM
RUT is too weak. Does it lead or lag the market!?

I don't know ...
We should long the strongest ones and short the weakest ones.