本轮TLT 及 10/30年 US TSY yield targets

lite1067

CoolMax 发表于 2012-5-31 14:18
Yeah!

NB !!

To shorts, there is potentially 5% downside, 10% upside... not a bad trade.

Jennyahwu

回复 lite1067 的帖子

so I short TLT 135$ thanks

like2swing

how about long tbt? two times of inverse TLT?

CoolMax

赶快去Re-finance啊。

svca

CoolMax 发表于 2012-5-31 20:28
赶快去Re-finance啊。

Just refi a couple of months ago, cannot do it now.

CoolMax

svca 发表于 2012-5-31 16:33
Just refi a couple of months ago, cannot do it now.

That's good.

Just keep doing it until rate ----->0%.

lite1067

now you guys know i was not kidding

6/1 EOD

TLT: 130.36
10yr tsy yield: 1.44%
30yr tsy yield: 2.54%

littletiger

lite1067 发表于 2012-6-1 20:32
now you guys know i was not kidding

6/1 EOD

any possibility TLT will go higher than $135?

lite1067

littletiger 发表于 2012-6-1 20:49
any possibility TLT will go higher than $135?

of course...

littletiger

lite1067 发表于 2012-6-1 21:56
of course...

hey,  n year later, people will talk about this historic event.

quantx

回复 lite1067 的帖子

nx! 10-yr bond close to target.

CoolMax

lite1067 发表于 2012-6-1 17:56
of course...

又装满一个仓库。

littletiger

CoolMax 发表于 2012-6-2 00:49
又装满一个仓库。

Cool bro,

let's know how many accounts you have?

tt92020

contr

CoolMax 发表于 2012-5-31 20:51
That's good.

Just keep doing it until rate ----->0%.

ARM or fixed?

atrader

空10YR,30YR（ZN,ZB)

CoolMax

NB! I don't think US is the same as Japan, but just a friendly reminder, JGB 10yr yield stayed much lower for more than two decades so far :-)  

我空的是美债，又不是日债。IMHO，两者本质不同。

美国如果走日本的老路，不是股票的问题了。在美加的华人，谁的日子都不会好过。

CoolMax

littletiger 发表于 2012-6-1 21:26
Cool bro,

let's know how many accounts you have?

现金仓位，不能空TLT，买了TBT代替。

sfbayarea

littletiger

回复 CoolMax 的帖子

sigh.. i already loaded TBT too early.

not sure how long  this climax run takes. from current situation, it will be few weeks to few months.