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发表于 2011-7-31 11:02 AM
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Cobra 发表于 2011-7-31 10:06 
我们的time frame是一样的,你的意思是要涨到明年,我的问题是等到你所谓的1450了,油价是多少?你告诉我 ...
1450 is not that far from here. Even if gas price increase another 10%, it is not the end of the world. If you are talking about 1600 or 3000, for that we need some kind of imagination, but 1450? I think that is a reasonable target. In terms of the debt ceiling deal, so far it has not caused any damage to the long term chart of the indexes. Regarding the '08 bailout, the market is already in a bear market, in a clear down trend for 10 months and is in a panic mood, before the congress decision, the market had some wishful thinking and went up for a few days until the crash. Here, market is in bull market, in clear uptrend for two years, a little bit concerned about a technical default (but far from panic), and before the 8/2, so far market is down for 5 days price in the risk (instead of some wishful thinking). Compared to the '08 bailout, I think market would move up after the congress lift the debt ceiling. |
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