02/11/2011 大盘回顾（Key Week the Next Week）

Diver · 发表于 2011-2-12 09:45 PM

本帖最后由 Diver 于 2011-2-12 21:50 编辑

Bangzhang, apparently the bearish seasonality did not work well since this rally; the seasonality performance has been even poor than year 2009. Only bullish seasonality worked well. But actually it is basically day day up, week week up, month month up, and year year up since this rally, so we do not know whether the push-up is due to bullish seasonality.

This past week is supposed to be bearish, however, it is amazingly bullish!

Thus no more hope for bears. There will never be a 1% pullback till the end of FED.

And very weird, it seems that US stock market is the only one without 1% pullback currently in the world.

...
SEASONALITY: BEARISH THE NEXT MONDAY AND FRIDAY

According to Stock Trader’s Almanac:

First trading day of February Expiration week Dow down 4 of last 6.
Day before Presidents Day weekend, S&P Down 16 of last 19.
February Expiration day, Dow down 7 of last 11.
The seasonality surrounding Presidents Day below is from Sentimentrader.
...
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-12 20:14

Diver · 发表于 2011-2-12 09:48 PM

I like to follow this one. Especially I noticed on your Seasonality chart that next Wednesday is very very bullish!

...
ST Model *02/11 L 1.9*ATR(10) *Enter long on any pullback to around SPY 02/11 mid price ($132.53) but still above 02/04 lows. I cannot give intraday signal, so have to buy the next pullback for this trade.
Short-term N/A N/A Trend is UP. I hold partial long position over the weekend.

My Thoughts *I’m almost convinced that this could be a primary 3 of 3 up to much much higher.

...
Cobra 发表于 2011-2-12 20:14

happyface · 发表于 2011-2-12 09:56 PM

thanks

格格 · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:14 PM

wxstone · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:25 PM

回复 1# Cobra

班长，下面的27个GAP今天不作为bearish的理由之一了？

trender · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:27 PM

Thanks

vicvic · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:31 PM

sfbayarea · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:38 PM

Sell call on Monday.

windy · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:43 PM

leftright · 发表于 2011-2-12 10:44 PM

netfire · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:01 PM

ROOKIE2 · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:05 PM

hfang01 · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:20 PM

everest001 · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:37 PM

rosyrosy · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:38 PM

Cobra · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:47 PM

And very weird, it seems that US stock market is the only one without 1% pullback currently in the world...
Diver 发表于 2011-2-12 21:45

Other markets lead usually, it takes time for US to reflect.

Cobra · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:47 PM

回复 Cobra

班长，下面的27个GAP今天不作为bearish的理由之一了？
wxstone 发表于 2011-2-12 22:25

都27了，一点反应都没有，还有啥edge?

Cobra · 发表于 2011-2-12 11:49 PM

Bangzhang, this item should be crossed out now, since now CSCO has posted its ER and we can say this ...
Diver 发表于 2011-2-12 21:37

ER season还没有结束呢，不是WMT是最后吗？

ahdou · 发表于 2011-2-13 12:37 AM

fead · 发表于 2011-2-13 01:00 AM

ding!

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[技术分析] 02/11/2011 大盘回顾 （Key Week the Next Week）

[技术分析] 02/11/2011 大盘回顾（Key Week the Next Week）