大熊近在咫尺，远在天涯，

maomi

回复 19# newegg
Great prediction! Do you think this pullback will reach the lower channel line, e.g. in the area of 1180? Thanks!

newegg

回复 21# maomi

guess this time bear MM will play big game,  Oil  1st,  then PIGs,  


SPX调整才刚刚开始 just start


from Cobra's theory ,  this  rising wedge break down target is 129.5   (http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... p;t=33&start=40)
  






rising wedge of SPX from  Sept. 2010,  break down target should  below SPX1150

newegg

bear  : ))
   

layschips

newegg

回复 22# newegg

DOW

newegg

回复 25# newegg


all up day   2/25/2011

"All Up Day http://cobrasmarketview.blogspot.com/2009/04/all-up-day.html
We call an “All Up Day” when SPX, US Dollar, Oil, Gold and AGG bond ETF are all up on the same day."

"In history, those All-UP-Days  everytime it happend, it more likely near intermediate-term top"

2/25/2011

SPX --up 13 point
USD -- up 0.22
Oil -- up $0.60
Gold -- up $6
AGG -up $0.28

Diver

班长说昨天不是AN ALL UP DAY. 见:

The bottom line, the short-term trend is up, not confirmed though. I hold partial short position ove ...

Oh, in case you want to ask, no, today is not an All Up Day. Even it is, it has no edge now.

Cobra 发表于 2011-2-25 17:17

回复  newegg


all up day   2/25/2011

"All Up Day
We call an “All Up Day” when SPX, US Do ...
newegg 发表于 2011-2-26 14:17

nooutlier

thanks

大牛Steve

大牛Steve

楼主划的通道值得关注：
即按照算术（线性）图表来看似乎触顶了，按对数图表，还有一段看涨行情。
但是不是会落到通道的下沿趋势线，目前这种假设还言之过早。
我随便画了一种假象的图形供参考，意思是说未来的走法可以有许多假象的余地。

newegg

回复 22# newegg



-------欧元区债务危机或已遭市场遗忘--------------


攥稿 欧洲投资记者Jeremy Gaunt; 编译 张明钧

路透伦敦2月25日电---未来一周中,金融市场无疑地将会受到利比亚及中东和北非国家的反政府行动所左右,其中原油市场更将受到上述因素的宰制.

但阿拉伯世界产生巨烈变化,并非环绕在投资人心中的唯一疑问.然而还有谁记得欧元区债务危机呢?

暗潮汹涌中,市场环境相对脆弱,加上欧元区领导人仍无法找到一个永久的援助机制,因此可能不需要太多的刺激因素就会让去年二线国家债券遭疯狂抛售的景像再次上演.

尽管欧元区二线国家公债与德国公债间利差与去年所及高点相较仍有段距离,但在2月出现走阔迹象.其中意大利公债与德债间利差扩大了50个基点,西班牙公债利差则是拉高了40个基点.

重要的是,葡萄牙的五年期和10年期公债收益率仍在7%以上,这正是先前迫使希腊及爱尔兰求援的水准.

这意味着本周连串公债标售将受到密切关注,以了解市场对于欧洲国家财务体质的信心状况.

面临些许压力的比利时将在周一标售2014、2018及2021年到期的公债.热点之一的西班牙将于周四标受五年期公债,投资人将特别注意葡萄牙周三回购行动,观察是否有大幅折价的迹象.

欧元区一线国家也将发债,其中荷兰将在周二入市,德国和法国则将在周三及周四进场.

何以这些公债标售较平常更具意义呢?原因在于在这些标债行动过後不久,欧元区特别峰会将在3月11日登场,而这场峰会应该会就永久债务管理机制的可能样貌达成部分协议.

周五芬兰首都赫尔辛基将召开中间偏右欧元区领导人会议,预料德国总理梅克尔也将与会,这可能会透露出些许端倪.

爱尔兰的大选结果,以及可能进行联合执政的结盟谈判,都将受到市场的严格检视,以了解新政府对于该国缩减支出承诺的态度.

在此同时,利差扩大意味着投资人对于欧洲领导人要花多少时间才能提出扎实解决方案已略感不耐.投资人希望获得明确的消息.

摩根大通资产管理的全球策略师David Shairp表示,"市场的反应将端视于方案到底是治标还是治本."

浏览欧元区债务危机英文图表,请点选以下网址:(r.reuters.com/hyb65p)

**重大冲击**

在此同时,先前有关金融资产表现的假设根据已经遭受重大冲击,因在利比亚动乱及扩散程度存在不确定性的情形下,油价呈现巨幅上涨.

中东及北非的局势迅速推进,且常常出现令人吃惊的局势转折,这很大程度迫使投资人不敢大举建仓.

这也是全球股市继1月及2月初大涨过後,在过去一周遭到重创的原因

newegg

Tomorrow will begin the first day of new FINRA market rules that will affect short sellers across the exchanges.  These new rules will massively change how traders and market makers deal with short and naked short selling of stocks.

According to these FINRA rule filings, three new laws and regulations go into affect starting on February 28th, and in this, it will remove a universal exemption used by market makers to get away with failing to deliver stock according to current SEC rules.

    There’s 3 new laws gaining attention in the NSS market reform arena: FINRA 4320 goes into effect on 2/28/11. It mandates 13 day buy-ins for open delivery failures FINALLY applying to shares of non-reporting corporations. FINRA 2010-043, also starting on 2/28/11 reinstates the “short sale exempt” (SSE) marking requirements for trade reporting and the OATS system. Those MMs accessing the bona fide MM exemption from executing pre-borrows or “locates” before admittedly naked short sales must now FORMALLY acknowledge the accessing of that universally-abused exemption. Being that these trades are theoretically being made to “inject liquidity” then the excuse to hide the related trade data from the public’s eyes goes out the window. You can’t have it both ways and claim the bona fide MM exemption and later claim that the related trade data needs to be kept secret because it might reveal a “proprietary trading strategy”.

    Truly bona fide MMs that are able to legally access that universally-abused exemption cover their naked short position on the next downtick after their short sale when buy side liquidity is in need of being ejected as share prices fall. The 3rd new rule which is in effect now states that the offers and bids that MMs post must be of approximately the same size. No longer can the offers be of 1 million shares and the offsetting bid good for the minimum 5,000 shares.

What this means for investors and traders is that many of the games large brokers and market makers use to manipulate a stock by holding down investor interest through short selling, or by using a small sell to offset a large buy to keep a stock from moving in a particular direction, will be illegal, and open to investigation.

Examples of this type of manipulation occur when investors put in bids to purchase say, $100,000 shares of XYZ stock at the current market price of say 10.00 per share.  The market maker will purchase those shares in the open market in blocks as they can accumulate shares until the purchase is completed.  Then, a market maker will bring down the price through manipulation, by selling short a block of say 5000 shares at $9.95.  The ratio of strong buying to selling was 20:1, but after both transactions took place, the stock actually fell $.05.

Thus the market maker controls the market of stock through manipulation, instead of simply allowing for the equity to move according to natural market forces.

Horror stories abound of market maker manipulation and naked short selling.  There was even a proven case where an investor owned 150% of the shares that a company legally had in the market.  This means, 50% of the investors shares were invisible and were created out of thin air, established through naked short selling by a broker, or market maker.

Tomorrow begins a new day for the US markets, and new rules that could prove interesting for investors.  If the SEC and FINRA follow through with enforcing these new rules, then we could see the markets skyrocket upwards as short sellers desperately battle to purchase their necessary stock back at any price.

Continue reading on Examiner.com: Tomorrow begins new market rules for short sellers - National Finance Examiner | Examiner.com http://www.examiner.com/finance- ... llers#ixzz1FFmzLDKA

newegg

回复 32# newegg

newegg

回复 33# newegg


   

newegg

回复 34# newegg









http://www.hutong9.net/viewthread.php?tid=111390&page=1&authorid=1650

newegg

回复 35# newegg



大涨花溅泪, 暴跌鸟惊心   --- 太刺激。

贪婪和恐惧 －－人性的弱点

Diver

newegg

回复 36# newegg

SPX bigger head than before

这种暴涨, 熊快被MM整成神经破裂了，受不了MM的酷刑，顶不住要当叛徒了，

Diver

回复  newegg

SPX bigger head than before
newegg 发表于 2011-3-3 17:36

newegg

回复 38# newegg

耐心的熊

















At  Top:  MM是虐待狂,  熊熊是受虐狂  -- 就是SM (Sadism & Masochism)