这两天比较忙，但我持续看好A股，即便有人可能会骂我"死多头"...

Paul

回复 1# X!nG


    不能如此比较。国内期指是以沪深300指数为基础的。上证与深成指走势的不同造成了上述差异。如果看四个指数：上证、深成指、中小板、创业板，你应当得出完全不同的结论。大资金自11月以来一直在撤出，毫无进场的迹象，这轮跌是资金继续撤出造成的。年底或一月初如有资金入场才可能涨。但从上证指数年线看，3年均线死叉5年均线，历史上从未有这种情况下的大涨，只有阴跌或大跌。所以预言上证指数明年大涨在统计学上说不通。至于中小板，已经从历史新高掉下来了，结构性牛市是否告一段落，抑或进入熊市，要看这一轮跌势的走法。

square

It's nice to see /hear your guys posts.

colderdown

回复 4# X!nG

Can't wait it drop 5% more.

Beijingnative

日线MACD似乎也是背离呢。

goodluck8

回复 2# colderdown

为什么换班时是good timing？什么时候换班儿? 换班 前买还是换班后买好呢？

atrader

我熊眼看，这是熊旗，还有一大腿跌。在中国，下一波应是黄金，都加息了，也就是说，通货盆涨是官方肯定的事实。股市要等通涨压住了以后的时段了。

atrader

中国的股市和美国股市完全不一样， 中国股市是散户占每日成交量的大头， 散户控制股市，没有人做长线，都是 ...
ypm968 发表于 2010-12-28 03:47

    你的数据对吗？从买入(卖出)成本：散户争大钱，私幕争小钱，机构赔大钱。

revolver

Don't think so. The stock market is always the last thing to concern for China government. The most important 3 things are growth rate, housing market & inflation now. Many bulls think the hot money from overseas with flow into stock market, but now it looks the government intends to lock them in the banks.

trade28

回复 27# atrader


    how can you tell from that table?

draguide

星星，期指和股指发生devergence，岂不是可以无风险套利？
还是说中国的股指期货和别人不一样？

jynmax

回复 26# atrader


    通货膨胀下就没有牛市吗？

xiaochong

atrader

回复  atrader


    通货膨胀下就没有牛市吗？
jynmax 发表于 2010-12-28 13:00

在中国，就是这样的。

Read0nly

Don't think so. The stock market is always the last thing to concern for China government. The most  ...
revolver 发表于 2010-12-28 11:03

Make sense. Just want to add "employment" to the list of most concerned. I think that is main reason behind to keep a high GDP in China.

Diver

Make sense. Just want to add "employment" to the list of most concerned. I think that is main re ...
Read0nly 发表于 2010-12-28 14:01

netbanker

xingxing说的周期要注意。 感谢xingxing~

colderdown

回复 25# goodluck8

胡温要下班儿之前走掉就好了。

pheona

chuanhua

回复  goodluck8

胡温要下班儿之前走掉就好了。
colderdown 发表于 2010-12-28 15:27

胡02年底上台，A股市场熊到05年底，06，07两年牛市后，熊市至今，其间09年反弹10个月。请问你得出此结论的依据。

revolver

回复 34# Read0nly


    Exactly. The 'speed' of GDP growth, or more specifically the export-oriented manufacturing, housing & infrastructure industries, hire a lot of migrant workers and are important to uphold the employment, which is seen as a pillar of social stability.