10/07/2010 白天灌水

google

今天搞不好要收绿，可怜的熊熊，每天最后都空欢喜

Cobra

明年的hedge fund owner (not sure how larget his fund will be)今天的comment，我的意思是大家好好看看人家的思路。

I moved to cash yesterday.  I just don't have enough conviction to be short or long right now.  See the problem is, I think the evidence is overwhelmingly negative.  But the market is doing something different.  So while the evidence is negative, the market keeps climbing.  Yes, I noticed that this is the 7th reversal day for the QQQQ at least.  So yeah that's got to be some sort of record.  Also, if the QQQQ close red today, that will be 8 out of 9 days in the red. i don't understand how we could have such a strong trend with the QQQQ this weak.  Also, while the SPY broke out of its range, the QQQQ haven't gone anywhere in 10 sessions now.  it still hasn't broken its high at $49.80.

。。。。。。

Tuesday's big up move was entirely contrary to literally everything the market was telling us, so I just decided to not play the game until things normalize.  Usually, we break a trend line, and the market free-falls or rallies.  This time, that didn't happen.  We clearly broke the lower trend line on the QQQQ and the QQQQ reversed out of it.  In that situation, i just GTFO until its clear that we're headed lower.  For me, that would mean a $47 handle on the QQQQ. It needs to fall under $48.20 for me to feel comfortable short.  On the long side, I won't go long.  Not as long as commercial traders are net short and the AAII 4-week is so high.  So yeah, I just won't go long right here.  I would rather wait and play other opportunities.

invest4long

欧元下一个比较理想的做空点位是 1.3950 到 1.3970.
我已经把单子挂上去了，目标 1.38，止损 1.4030.   两到三天的时间，很可能明天就会被trigger 了不管是盈利还是被STOP OUT。
愿意跟的就跟吧，反正亏了别怪我，赫赫。。。。。。

YMYD

lehldk

今天搞不好要收绿，可怜的熊熊，每天最后都空欢喜
google 发表于 2010-10-7 14:54

    不可能。一顶红

永恒罗马

Nope，只有一次，且不是3%，而是2.6%!
Cobra 发表于 2010-10-7 14:45

    不过好像除了08/09年那时候之外，剩下的case之后都并没有down多少啊。。。

yoy_158

2.6%四舍五入就是3%
google 发表于 2010-10-7 14:48

相差15%啦，也就是差20%。

atrader

Nope，只有一次，且不是3%，而是2.6%!
Cobra 发表于 2010-10-7 14:45

    老大致学严谨啊

atrader

不可能。一顶红
lehldk 发表于 2010-10-7 14:56

    以为ES1154是今天的顶了

Diver

今天可能就这样了，窄幅震荡到收盘。？

西安

we will see ES closed at 1158.

lehldk

ER是WS大把大把捞钱的时候。投行Q4的ER就靠Q3的情况。每个ER都是这样的。今天可能仍是高位调整。日币：USD=1:1

ksd9235

holding cash while usdx keeps dropping isn't that great either

babyruth

回复 321# google

灰常有可能, 因为我CUT了我的SHORT POSITION

Diver

明年的hedge fund owner (not sure how larget his fund will be)今天的comment，我的意思是大家好好看看人 ...
Cobra 发表于 2010-10-7 14:55

Cobra

不涨就是ＷＥＡＫ阿？
revive 发表于 2010-10-7 15:03

    我的意思是人家觉得跟预期不一样，至少知道收手。这个就很重要。整天打打杀杀的，少做一两个swing会死啊？

Simpletrader

pattern wise, it is break out pattern.  However, it has taken so long.  wait for the range to be broken.

Cobra

不涨就是ＷＥＡＫ阿？
revive 发表于 2010-10-7 15:03

    我猜，周二那一下子，这位就损失了几十万，顺便说。人家好不犹豫的走人了。

lehldk

cit 牛B了，怎么不自己upgrade 一下自己。WS就是不要脸