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楼主 |
发表于 2009-12-23 02:35 PM
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俺猜nobody believes this anymore,尽管俺短期的call一次又一次的被证明是对的。现在就只管相信,yes we can吧。
StockObserver wrote, in response to Cobra:
Thanks, Cobra. Helene Meisler searched back in time and found two other dates where CPCE > CPC are 1/13/2009 and 12/21/2007 and she concluded CPCE > CPC is a sign that the market may stage a broad decline soon afterwards. The excerpt of her article follows:
"That's now two days in a row someone has decided he needed to snatch up some calls in the final minutes of trading. The index put/call ratio was a very low 57% Tuesday and the total put/call ratio was 60%. What is really odd is that the equity put/call ratio was 61% and in the almost seven years I have data for the equity put/call ratio, I can only find five other times we saw it higher than the total ratio. Of course, I went and looked at what the market did thereafter. We begin with Jan. 13, 2009. The chart of the S&P 500 is below with that date circled. It wasn't an auspicious time to be adding new purchases. Heading back in time, we had to go almost two years earlier to Dec. 21, 2007. Once again I've circled the date on the chart..." |
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