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发表于 2009-11-11 01:19 PM
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Since 1928, streaks of 7 up days have gone on to 8 days 51% of the time, but after that the probability of the streak continuing uninterrupted declines precipitously.
There have only been two other times the S&P futures advanced for 7 days, then gapped up at least +0.5% the following morning as it is on track to do this morning. Those were 03/21/03 and 01/06/09. Both days market short-term peaks for the S&P, as over the following week it declined -2.5% and -7.0%, respectively. |
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