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发表于 2010-4-14 11:34 AM
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本帖最后由 tenteddies 于 2010-4-14 12:39 编辑
let us see this zt:
Bernanke and everyone in the White House will try to stop this from happening. If they can't, there will be real trouble ahead for the economy. Right now, this event is at a MAJOR testing point.
What is it?
The answer is "interest rates". Below is a chart showing a 17 year down trend on 30 year bond yields. Its resistance line has had 7 touch points.
We are now at number 7, and international investors want to be paid higher interest for what they perceive to be an environment with much higher risks. That pressure makes this current test a MAJOR testing point.
Bernanke is sweating right now, because if he can't be successful at keeping interest rates down, the housing market will take another turn for the worse and foreclosures will keep rising. Home mortgage interest rates will rise. (Bernanke is trying to be very proactive in driving rates down right now. There is a lot of international pressure coming in, so it will not be as easy as he thinks.)
If we break above the resistance line shown, we can expect interest rates to rise to a level that would increase monthly mortgage costs by 20% to 25% this year. This could be one of the most significant events seen during the past few years.
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