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发表于 2012-9-19 04:20 PM
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1485/1493 vs 1440:
No trade for today. The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:
Big Troop:
- EFA 20% (15%-09/06, 5%-09/13)
- EEM 30% (20%-08/31, 10-09/13)
- IWM 20% (20%-08/08)
- SPY 30% (10%-07/05, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 0%
SAC Troop:
- TBT 14% (14%-09/14)
- ERX 10% (10%-09/07)
- QLD 23% (23%-09/06)
- SSO 24% (24%-09/06)
- FAS 12% (8%-08/13, 4%-08/27)
- NUGT 8% (3%-08/21, 5%-08/27)
- Cash 9%
We had a small pin with upper shadow today. The market attempted to go up in the morning but retreated back very quick befor close. It showed some selling pressure, but it still seems to be contained in a consolidation range. For the short term trading, I am still betting on the upside surge - today Wednesday will be similar to the Wednesday last week. We shall see the market soar again tomorrow. Our upside targets will be 1485 (Friday), 1493, and 1530.
Wave count (based on the purple line scenario):
07/03's high = [A]
07/24's low = [B]
08/21's high = [C]
09/04's low = [D]
09/04's high = 1
09/05's low = 2
09/10's high = 3
09/10's low = 4
09/14's high = 5
- Scenario 9 Waves:
09/18's low = 6
09/21's high = 7
09/26's low = 8
09/28's high = 9
- Scenario 5 Waves:
09/18's low = a
09/19's high = b
09/21's low = c
In the "Scenario 9 Waves", the market will continue going up in a fast pace to our upside targets to end the medium term bull run.
In the "Scenario 5 Waves", the market will make a correction to 1440 for us to buy dips.
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