2012-07-W4

snowrider

No trade for medium- and long-term position today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - Big troop dollar amount allocation:
- TLT 25% (10%-04/10, 15%-05/01)
- SPY 45% (10%-07/05, 15%-07/06, 10%-07/11, 10%-07/24)
- Cash 30%

Medium Term - Small troop stock holding:  None

We had a big gap up today.  The market's price action confirmed that betting on the bullish side was a good idea these days.  One thing notable for today's market is Dow's Island Reversal to upside.  Alas that our 3X bull ETF positions were washed out on Monday.  Glad that we continued accumulating our SPY at much lower price for our long term position.  (It proved that our decision of getting rid of 3X ETFs from our trading list was CORRECT!)  IF the market is able to follow through the upward movement tomorrow, there will be no cheap price to buy stock afterward!

Wave count (based on the latest purple line with a little bit update):
07/03's high = [A]
07/12's low = [B].A
07/19's high = [B].B
07/24's low = [B].C
We are in the middle of a big wave [C] to 1429.

usamonkey

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-26 04:59 PM
No trade for medium- and long-term position today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today' ...

good, hope there is a dip tomorrow morning, so i can get my position back

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-26 01:59 PM
No trade for medium- and long-term position today.  The following explains my portfolio as of today' ...

非常感谢。    

君遥

Jeff

Irene2011

snowrider  不好意思偶剛剛去別處了! 重要的是開盤價! 若開在中間則會上下窄幅糾結(上下假破)! 開盤跳過是最好的!  发表于 2012-7-26 04:58 PM

So far so good. 说的真准！。

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-7-27 09:33 AM
snowrider  不好意思偶剛剛去別處了! 重要的是開盤價! 若開在中間則會上下窄幅糾結(上下假破)! 開盤跳過 ...

IWM 破昨高了 ... 這就對了!

时时是好时

TLT今天呈崩溃之势，把多仓的利润都吃掉了。现在是否是减点TLT的时机？

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-7-27 09:43 AM
TLT今天呈崩溃之势，把多仓的利润都吃掉了。现在是否是减点TLT的时机？

圖形上看來是不漂亮了(島型反轉) ... 但偶因為是想做輕鬆點 ... 所以偶會不理它 ... 偶會等它打穿支撐才出場

时时是好时

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-27 10:46 AM
圖形上看來是不漂亮了(島型反轉) ... 但偶因為是想做輕鬆點 ... 所以偶會不理它 ... 偶會等它打穿支撐才出 ...

好，做轻松点，就这么办了。

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-7-27 10:02 AM
好，做轻松点，就这么办了。

另一個原因就是偶有SPY的大倉位 ... 而TLT倉位較小 不管TLT怎麼崩盤 偶TLT都賺 ... 所以偶目前只關心SPY ... 以前說過偶不貪心 ... 一年偶只要20%就好了 今年的20%在年初第一季時就達標了(因為去年在10月11月最低的時候進滿倉的關希) ... 現在多跑的是多賺的 ... 算是萬一日後賠錢的時候的墊底吧!

Irene2011

时时是好时 发表于 2012-7-27 08:02 AM
好，做轻松点，就这么办了。

看来还是我爱折腾。卖了。再买。

TNA

Hi Snowrider:
So far, DOW is the leader and RUT is lagging, NORMALLY this is not good for bulls.
Do you remember examples not following this NORMAL rule ?
THX,

snowrider

TNA 发表于 2012-7-27 10:18 AM
Hi Snowrider:
So far, DOW is the leader and RUT is lagging, NORMALLY this is not good for bulls.
D ...

TNA - I ... If I tell you what I think, most people won't believe that.  That is ... I don't care anything about the correlationship between markets or between stocks, and I don't care anything about FA at all ..., so when I trade one item, I see (and care) only the price action of that item.  DJIA has overtaken the high of 07/19, and I believe that SP will follow very soon, but it is the SP not the DJIA that I trade.

TNA

Yeah,  everyone has different view of the market.
Thanks !

Irene2011

卖早了，害我到现在都没事干。：（

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-7-27 11:20 AM
卖早了，害我到现在都没事干。：（

恭喜賺錢!  千萬不要空這個SP ... 今天會一路漲到收盤成一隻大長紅並打穿 07/19 的高點 (本來應該昨天發生的)

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-27 09:27 AM
恭喜賺錢!  千萬不要空這個SP ... 今天會一路漲到收盤成一隻大長紅並打穿 07/19 的高點 (本來應該昨天發生 ...

雪骑老大的提醒真是及时呀。正琢磨着哪。

snowrider

Irene2011 发表于 2012-7-27 11:36 AM
雪骑老大的提醒真是及时呀。正琢磨着哪。

偶只是瞎猜的 ... 因為偶看著別的論壇有人一路加碼放空期指一路越賠越大 偶就一路加碼買進期指(因為偶知道他們放空的人會將倒限單設在07/19高點之上)所以偶就一定要一路拉上去把他們打出來才行

Irene2011

snowrider 发表于 2012-7-27 09:40 AM
偶只是瞎猜的 ... 因為偶看著別的論壇有人一路加碼放空期指一路越賠越大 偶就一路加碼買進期指(因為偶知道 ...

明白了，挤空。