2012-06-W1

时时是好时

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-8 15:29
今天的這種走法的確挺嚇人的   ... 所以你看所謂塞翁失馬 ... 沒跟偶做可能也是對的!   
只 ...

噢，126。看着不容易的说。。。

感觉能拉正已经不错了，，，担心，，有什么对策？

snowrider

snowrider 发表于 2012-6-8 14:29
今天的這種走法的確挺嚇人的   ... 所以你看所謂塞翁失馬 ... 沒跟偶做可能也是對的!   
只 ...

不管怎樣 ... TLT 多頭最後的防線在 123 (05/29/2012) 那個缺口  如果跌破 ... 偶就會出場 ... 否則 ... 還是不到140不出

328

雪老大，我观察的几个dividend 股票，如FE，NEE， HCP， SO，都在创新高，现在和去年夏天似乎不太一样。

snowrider

328 发表于 2012-6-8 14:57
雪老大，我观察的几个dividend 股票，如FE，NEE， HCP， SO，都在创新高，现在和去年夏天似乎不太一样。

(偶瞎猜的) 推動它們的可能是跟偶們買bond的意思差不多  在經濟好的時候人們寧可捨棄dividend而去追求公司成長  在經濟不好的時候人們較會去追求有固定收益的東西

snowrider

时时是好时 发表于 2012-6-8 14:34
噢，126。看着不容易的说。。。

感觉能拉正已经不错了，，，担心，，有什么对策？

這TLT收平盤  收得還差強人意!  

时时是好时

气死，今天账户居然上不去，打电话过去，，，最后一秒加成了。。。TLT  

snowrider

We bot SPXU in the afternoon.  The following explains my portfolio as of today's close:

Long Term - Big troop dolloar amount allocation: TLT 75% cash 25% (no change)
Medium Term - Small troop stock holding: SPXU

The market had a low open but a high close today.  It covered most part of yesterday's price range.  One thing noticeable is today's ultra low volume, which implies that the move (today's upward move) is not a real one.  We don't know if the market is going to enter a short term consolidation phase (see the scenario #1 in yesterday's post), or the market is going to reverse (see the scenario #2).  Wave count:

Scenario #1 - grey line will see a new high that breaks out 1335 (wave-1) and then a pulling back to form right shoulder (wave-2) for a better entry point to establish long position.

Scenario #2 - purple line will see a reversal next Monday (wave-IV.c._5) and then some sharp drops to below 1290 area (wave-V.1) the rest of the week.

Diffusion

snowrider

hometh

hometh

holding my sds over the weekend, haha, b/c i failed to sell it at open price. :(

时时是好时

daveyhorl99

hometh

as to tlt, i'm long tlt calls, as long as the 30-year bonds holds up 147.2 (today close at 148.8)

jlht

Today is out of expectation, looking for reversal next week.

ethanlinear

Jeff

bucks

busted

回复 snowrider 的帖子

Is there another possibility that pullback to 1290 area and up again to the end of next week, after that we may see another decline.

snowrider

busted 发表于 2012-6-9 15:03
回复 snowrider 的帖子

Is there another possibility that pullback to 1290 area and up again to the e ...

那就是前幾天update的圖中紫線的走法
http://hutong9.net/forum.php?mod ... 0&fromuid=17450