08/09/2010 大盘回顾 （NYSE Total Volume Too Low）

Cobra

TREND MOMENTUM COMMENT Long-term 2 of 2 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode Short-term Model is BUY 5 of 5 are NEUTRAL Trend is up, but I hold no position overnight. GANN DAY MOON/SOLAR CYCLE CONCLUSION 8/11,8/26 08/09 / 08/08 8/9,8/11,8/23 Next pivot date: 08/06 – 08/11, 08/23 – 08/26

BULLISH BEARISH 6.2.3 VIX:VXV Trading Signals: Too low. 0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume: A little bit low.

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU Non-Stop 07/15 L N/A Be sure to check 8.2.2a to 8.2.2g to understand the risks. ST Model 07/20 L 07/30 low

*Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The main purpose of this report is to provide information so contradictory signals are always presented.

SEASONALITY: THE FIRST NINE TRADING DAYS OF AUGUST ARE HISTORICALLY WEAK

See 07/30 Market Recap for more details.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: THE CORRECTION SINCE 04/26 ISN’T OVER, THE REBOUND SINCE 07/01 IS NEAR END

 

Maintain the following forecast:

1. The correction since 04/26 isn’t over and the rebound since 07/01 is near end. See 07/30 Market Recap for more details.
2. Potential rebound price target is SPX 1131 and time target is around 08/10. See 08/06 Market Recap for more details.

SHORT-TERM: NYSE TOTAL VOLUME IS WAY TOO LOW, NOT A GOOD SIGN

 

今天没啥说的，全看明天Fed是不是宣布Quantitative Easing II了。我个人认为明天Fed多半不会Quantitative Easing II，但是market如何解读，就不知道了。从下面的图看，Fed day一般还是比较牛牛友好的。

 

 

今天想给大家看两个图，都比较熊熊友好，我还是认为a top of some kind should be very close。至于pullback if indeed是short-term还是intermediate-term，则要等pullback开始后才知道。

 

0.2.5 NYSE Total Volume，这个太低了，是非常重要的top sign。

 

 

1.0.0 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)，negative divergence too much too large，在我看来是非常bearish的。

 

 

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided.
QQQQ	UP
IWM	UP	4.1.2 Russell 2000 iShares (IWM Weekly): 2 black bars in a row, doesn’t look good.
CHINA	UP
EMERGING	UP
EUROPEAN	UP
CANADA	UP
BOND	UP
EURO	UP
GOLD	DOWN	*Confirmed black bar reversal and the 3rd time is the charm, so more pullback?
GDX	DOWN	*2 reversal like bars in a row, doesn’t look good.
OIL	UP
ENERGY	UP
FINANCIALS	UP
REITS	UP	4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): Home builder is lagging, be careful.
MATERIALS	UP

hahaha

Wow. sf!

tortose

Thanks

xiaoxiaozhang

Ding! Thanks.

萧秋水

辛苦了,多谢!

QWE

usamonkey

H@T

dreampen

源济

abaqus

haha...

it is too fast...

navybean

THanks

NZX

coppereye

lostlamb98

First page...Thanks.

t-k

NewMember

thanks

happyface

thanks

Summerrose

Thanks.
The market is searching direction. I think it's a 50%-50% chance.
A strong break-through the neckline would dramatically change the landscape.
I am 75% loaded. But I have SPY put spread to hedge the downside risk.

southware

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