05/14/2010 After Bell Quick Summary

Cobra

I see 3 tricks, all yelling for a green Monday. The bottom line, the 2nd leg down has started. But right now I have no idea about whether it’ll form a lower low or higher low.

 

Trick number 1 – very very bullish Monday and also according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, Monday before May Expiration, Dow up 19 of last 21. Statistically, Monday has the tendency to constantly outperform for certain period of time then underperform for certain period of time. There’s no way for me to know in advance when it’ll start to underperform but you should aware that this kind of bullish Monday stuff won’t go forever. 

 

 

Trick number 2 – 27 out of 40 times (68%) a green day after a Major Distribution Day (NYSE Down Volume : NYSE Up Volume > 9) which is today.

 

 

Trick number 3 – when CPC >= 1.01, 23 out of 30 times (77%) a green day the next day.

 

 

Have a nice weekend!

coppereye

假设老蛇的3个事件是独立随机事件，经过俺的半吊子概率估算，下周一收绿的概率超过99%，没错吧？
当然不对，被人指出来了。

rosyrosy

Thanks!

源济

天天向上

顶!!!

xnz

thanks

风信子

Thanks! Have a nice weekend!

开小差

thx, ding

wnd4

thanks

oda

thanks

股海无涯

hahaha

"老吴胡同最后一贴. 下周黑色星期一,二,三来临, 全球金融大崩溃"
Let's see which one is correct. Thanks Cobra.

Ed02

Thanks!!!

draguide

假设老蛇的3个事件是独立随机事件，经过俺的半吊子概率估算，下周一收绿的概率超过99%，没错吧？ ...
coppereye 发表于 2010-5-14 16:36

    恩，输的几率类似中彩票。不过俺不赌。俺怕中彩票。

萧秋水

thx a ton!

cc2265

thanks

spo

假设老蛇的3个事件是独立随机事件，经过俺的半吊子概率估算，下周一收绿的概率超过99%，没错吧？ ...
coppereye 发表于 2010-5-14 16:36

    差不多，

spo

可不可能收集3个bearish指标，然后下周收红的概率>90%？

小兵

hope it's not a big jump. I have not bought yet. waiting for spy lower than 108 to buy.

xz214