03/02/2010 大盘回顾 （Higher Beta Stocks are Most Welcome）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 2 of 3 are BUY 4 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in BUY mode Short-term 1 of 1 are BUY 5 of 8 are OVERBOUGHT

BULLISH 1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min): Could be Head and Shoulders Bottom, target 119.42. BEARISH 6.4.A SPY Bottom Shape: Could be another leg down to test the low.  0.0.8 SPX:CPCE: A top was confirmed. 1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min): *14 unfilled gaps. (max was 15) 1.1.0 Nasdaq Composite (Daily): *9 unfilled gaps. (max was 9) 2.3.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume: *Too high, topped? CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model 02/26 L breakeven Reversal Bar 02/26 L breakeven NYMO Sell       VIX MA ENV

OTHER ETFs TREND COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ   IWM   CHINA   EMERGING Down CANADA FINANCIALS   REITS   *Black bar, could pullback. MATERIALS   ChiOsc too high. ENERGY Down Broadening Top in the forming, the breakout direction is unknown. OIL   ChiOsc too high. *2 reversal bars in a row, could pullback. GOLD Down DOLLAR UP Head and Shoulders Bottom. BOND Down *3 reversal bars in a row, could pullback.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: VERY CLOSE TO A TURNING POINT, NOT SURE IT’S A TOP OR BOTTOM THOUGH

 

See 03/01 Market Recap, there’re several cycles due this week or early next week, among them the 03/08 could be the most important one. The market rises into 03/08 then 03/08 could be a top while the market drops into 03/08 then 03/08 could be a bottom.

 

SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE A PULLBACK VERY SOON

 

今天有三个问题，都对牛牛不利，所以very short-term应该会有pullback。另外，今天的After Bell Quick Summary也提到了，明天既使涨，most likely也涨幅不大。

 

0.0.2 SPY Short-term Trading Signals，黑棒棒，好像最近第二天都收红了。

 

 

2.3.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume，Nasdaq volume to NYSE volume ratio过高表示大家都很牛，因此多半意味着top。

 

 

上面table里的东东如果没有注意的话，这里再提醒一下，1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)有14个unfilled gap了，去年最牛的时候最多有15个unfilled gap。1.1.0 Nasdaq Composite (Daily)有9个unfilled gap，而去年最牛的时候最多也是有9个unfilled gap。现在比去年更牛吗？至少从inflow liquidity (courtesy of stocktiming)看，the answer is no。 

 

 

STOCK SCREENER:  For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in BUY mode, only LONG candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.

 

Since the intermediate-term direction is not clear, so no stock screeners from now on until the dust settles.

 

6th-Sense

soaf! Hahaha......I am the first la
老大， 这波会不可能＂OVERBOUGHT＂还有更＂OVERBOUGHT＂ ?

lite1067

BD !!!!!!!!!!!!

lite1067

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lite1067

tnnd.. people all are busy counting $$$$

atrader

thanks

newbee168

first page, haha

slcgh

xiaoxiaozhang

萧秋水

辛苦!多谢!

reks

1st page?