02/16/2010 大盘回顾 （Follow Through Wanted!）

Cobra

TREND INDICATOR MOMENTUM INDICATOR COMMENT (Click link to see chart) Long-term 3 of 3 are BUY     Intermediate 3 of 3 are SELL 6 of 6 are NEUTRAL SPY ST Model is in SELL mode Short-term 1 of 1 are BUY 5 of 9 are NEUTRAL

BULLISH 0.0.3 SPX Intermediate-term Trading Signals: Bottom is close according CPC MA10. 1.0.3 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 30 min): *Ascending Triangle confirmed. Target $111.72. BEARISH 6.4.A SPY Bottom Shape: Could be another leg down to test the low. 1.0.8 SPX Cycle Watch (Moon Phases): Topped? 02/12 Market Recap: Seasonality is generally bearish next week. 2.4.2 NYSE - Issues Advancing: *Overbought. CONCLUSION

SPY SETUP ENTRY DATE STOP LOSS INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING VEHICLE: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU ST Model     Reversal Bar     NYMO Sell       VIX MA ENV

OTHER ETFs TREND COMMENT – *New update. Click BLUE to see chart if link is not provided. QQQQ   IWM   *ChiOsc too high. CHINA Down Double Top confirmed. EMERGING Down CANADA FINANCIALS Down Could be a confirmed Head and Shoulders Top. REITS   MATERIALS   ENERGY Down OIL   GOLD Down DOLLAR UP Head and Shoulders Bottom, target $24.28.  Black bar, could pullback. BOND Down

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: INITIAL PULLBACK TARGET MET BUT COULD BE MORE

 

No update, see 02/05/2010 Market Recap, Fib 38.2% retracement target was met, but I suspect there’s more. There’s a chance that after the pullback is over, we’ll see a new high followed by a bigger pullback thereafter.

 

SHORT-TERM: EXPECT A VERY SHORT-TERM PULLBACK AS EARLY AS TOMORROW  

 

今天大涨，very short-term very overbought了，如果自一月份以来的correction没有结束的话，明天就该有pullback。下面简单列一下对牛牛不利的因素，比较多，所以如果明天继续涨的话，那things indeed are different now，因为mad cow又回来了。所以again明天能否follow through很关键，let’s see。

 

月亮还是说top，再给她一天机会吧。

 

 

02/12 Market Recap说了，统计上，seasonality不牛牛friendly，特别是从明天开始起的三天。

 

 

今天的After Bell Quick Summary提到了1.0.2 S&P 500 SPDRs (SPY 60 min)的两个非常reliable的indicator，RSI and ChiOsc都overbought了。Here’s more，SentimenTrader三个最主要的short-term indicators，也都很extreme了。

 

 

最后看一下今天的Selling on Strength，都是heavy weight big cap，每个的block sell都几乎占了今天total down tick的一半。For record only，因为我没注意以前这样子是否属于不正常。

 

 

STOCK SCREENER:  For fun only, I may not actually trade the screeners. Since SPY ST Model is in SELL mode, only SHORT candidates are listed. For back test details as well as how to confirm the entry and set stop loss please read HERE. Please make sure you understand the basic risk management HERE.

 

Today’s screener has 7 stock found.

 

 

According to the entry rule, RSG found on last Friday wasn’t confirmed.

 

green_aapl

shafa!

祝老蛇及胡同全体居民快乐发财！

1# Cobra

outer

Thank you.

abbozzo

yaobooyao

顶！

行到水穷处，坐看云起时。

现在的市场调整也好、反弹也好，都急不得。

happylux

Ding.

X中国陆军

Cool

X中国陆军

ht2010

Thanks!

1st page 1st time.

azure4068

gdx在short候选里，怕怕！

Fan8an

thanks

bendzhao

thx

hifive

Jeff

dragoncat

Thanks a lot

ranchgirl

碧海潮生

philles

我是谁

armorr

Thank you!!