向熊熊请教一下

CoolMax

SPX连续三天收在BB下轨的外面。
明天大跌的可能性有多大？

明天平开低走，或者低开低走。棒棒就完全在BB的外面，这种可能性有多大？

今天SPX收在1092.17，前期的低点在1083.74.如果按照5点的Margin，收低于1083.74 - 5 = 1078.74为有效突破。
需要跌1092.17 - 1078.74 = 13.43.



怎么样说，再盘几天，或者涨几天，把超卖的指标修正一下，才比较合理吧。

tracy

什么都不知道，就知道我是沙发了。哈。。。。。。。。我第一。

CoolMax

什么都不知道，就知道我是沙发了。哈。。。。。。。。我第一。
tracy 发表于 2010-1-26 06:57 PM

不是熊熊，不要来凑热闹。

summer123

2nd

ranchgirl

3rd

tracy

不是熊熊，不要来凑热闹。
CoolMax 发表于 2010-1-26 18:58

咋怎看不起人呢，SORRY，看不起牛。
我又没说我不是熊，暂时没想到怎么回答嘛。
等下回答。

我是谁

I am bear,  but accidentally i have net long position

torontonian

who knows, though i am a deep in water bull.

CoolMax

咋怎看不起人呢，SORRY，看不起牛。
我又没说我不是熊，暂时没想到怎么回答嘛。
等下回答。
tracy 发表于 2010-1-26 07:02 PM

俺们牛牛，得让人家熊熊先回答，是不？

ideall

舌战群熊

trytry

go ot SMA 200

leo

:)

jiuguangw

There are plenty of examples, e.g., late September 2008:

You simply walk down alone with the Bollinger (notice that Bollinger has a steep slope down). Let's say this triple bottom plays out, so what? We break up to around the previous triple top neckline, and it becomes yet another chance to short (I'm strongly in favor of this scenario)

Same thing with the VIX. All bears need is for the VIX to correct to mid-band in the Bollinger, then there's plenty of room on the upside (again, notice how steep the bands are upwards).

tracy

俺们牛牛，得让人家熊熊先回答，是不？
CoolMax 发表于 2010-1-26 19:04

老大这招投石问路真恨。

我看指望08是没可能的呢。现在就等着中国行动。3000点守的住，这50天线就是个买点，破那么点也没啥。今晚中国3000点失守，spx的BB下轨还得下。Let‘s see tonight!

ideall

11# trytry
kao, 这末厉害

trytry

15#  

Braveheart

2/17/09~2/19/09 close under BB,
what happened next few days?

Kami

The problem is BB is opening up widely.  Even if tomorrow it went down big, the bar could still be close to the lower line, or a little bit outside of it.  13 points is just a little bit over 1%, mao mao yu la.  This is still the first leg down, it better gets way oversold, then the next leg down could show some beautiful positive divergence.  Usually when big correction happens, the first leg needs to break the nearest consolidation area, otherwise the correction would be shallow.  I think the current correction would be big, so I would not enter any long (even for ST) until it breaks 1080.  Actually, I pan to wait till the second leg is down to enter long (around 200 MA area -- maybe 3-4 weeks from now).

dara

其实最近下跌就是对前段上涨的修正. It has nothing to do O8 or whatever.

Especially for some big guys who longed last year,  even sell at current level it is still a huge gain right there.

这和2009年处很象. up with no vol in the end of 2008 and begin of 2009 and down quickly afterwards.

我本想在SPY 11147时放炮给熊打气, 可是看到有些 顶置贴 我就忍住了

Braveheart

http://news.yninfo.com/china/gdxw/200904/W020090413372465739479.jpg
trytry 发表于 2010-1-26 19:07

不要乐得太早了