11/17/2009 大盘回顾 （Dollar Rebound?）

Cobra

Summary:

SPY is too high above MA200 plus UUP could rebound so expect some days of consolidation then pullback.

	TREND	MOMENTUM	EMOTION	COMMENT - Sample for using the trend table.
Long-term	Up		Disbelieve
Intermediate	Down	Neutral
Short-term	Up	Neutral
SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	INSTRUCTION	STOP LOSS	Mechanic trading signals for reference only. Back tested since 2002.
ST Model	11/17	*Enter Long.	*11/04 Low
Reversal Bar
NYMO Sell
VIX ENV
Patterns ect.

 

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: COULD BE MORE CONSOLIDATION THEN PULLBACK

 

今天是个typical consolidation day，因此没有多少信息。俺的猜测是可能more consolidation （2% to the upside the most） then pullback。主要理由有2个：

 

Price 20% high above MA200，盘整几天后（see red bars）pullback的可能很大。The original idea is from here: Stocks Have Little Room to the Upside。

 

3.1.0 PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (UUP Daily)，Morning Star plus ChiOsc too low（注意绿色虚线的地方），因此UUP可能继续反弹，介会导致大盘pullback。

 

SHORT-TERM: NO UPDATE

 

INTERESTING CHARTS:

 

$GOLD的最后读数confirm今天的After Bell Quick Summary里提到的ALL UP DAY，介就是说明天可能有较大的pullback。

 

不过由于俺back test软件没有对应的$WETI and $GOLD，这样back test的结果（see red bars）跟使用stockcharts的$WETI and $GOLD的结果不一样，似乎看不出啥edge来，而理论上，既使用不同的gold and oil index，其结果应该是差不多的，因此介个ALL UP DAY到底是否意味着大的pullback，存疑，灵不灵明天就知道了。

happyface

sofa?

lehldk

ding, up big tomm

Langtaojin

Thanks a lot!!!

ypm968

板凳

yaobooyao

The only recognized theme in stock market, seems to be 'UP'.

The modern way to interpret 'DOWN' is 'LESS UP', this is invented by cheapening dollar.

impresario100

Bigmouth

safa?

Bigmouth

First page!

weigoodone01

GoldenSky

CoolMax

我是谁

  1st page!!!!!!!!!!!!!11

Jeff

Thanks!

JohnHsu

1st page!

牛熊

First page

Alchemist

gear

Thanks

knz98

janez

Thanks.