Going to short this market as a swing trade

luckystar2006

Got home ~2am this morning and I'm now so happy to sit in my office with several monitors to trade/monitor market activities from macro-to-micro time frames, while my german shepherd dog is watching too (he cried a lot upon seeing me this morning when I went to pick up him at pet hotel.)

Starting today, I'm going to increase my trading capital for those 100% probability setups.  Instead of using ~$40k/trade, I'll use >$100k/trade (I won't discuss how much that is in term of % because you guys will know the size of my portfolio.  haha~~~~)  For other >80% probability setup, I'll go in/out with ~$40k/trade.  

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Short-term: trend is still up.
Swing: look like today is a great day for a swing on the down side with cautious on GDP data for tomorrow morning.  I'll refer today's setup with >80% probability setup.

五谷

luckystar2006

As for next week, I guess there are still more rooms on the upside which market will consolidate around WEEKLY BB center line (as shown in red circles).  If I were you who is still holding onto long positions, it's time to be cautious as any movement on weekly chart is quite volatile for swing/short-term traders

luckystar2006

btw, I won't short right at market open because it's NOT an ideal entry point.

Jeff

luckystar2006

Well, another great day as I just exited my CALLs at market open today with ~65% gains.  I bought lots of CALLs on Monday morning (not at an ideal entry point because SPX dropped >10 pts after I went in) before leaving to Japan.

Anyway, I blanked out those $$$ figures because some of you started to freak out already  

jukifox

呵呵，又看到技术帖子了！

ysc

welcome back.

ysc

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-3 08:42 AM
Well, another great day as I just exited my CALLs at market open today with ~65% gains.  I bought lo ...

jukifox

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-3 09:42 AM
Well, another great day as I just exited my CALLs at market open today with ~65% gains.  I bought lo ...

好厉害啊！没有买OPTION的能力和勇气！

风行过

风行过

what is your swing trade time frame? 1 day or few days? thanks

luckystar2006

Just for fun.  I plan to participate this world trading competition next year by using both my swing & short-term strategies.  I want to see how great my swing/st signals are by trading against those professional traders.

http://www.worldcupchampionships.com/live-stats-3

luckystar2006

Still waiting for entry point for my swing trade on the down side.  I won't trade on the up side today as risks are too high.

luckystar2006

I see ES trading at 1980.25.  I'm 99% sure that ES will hit below 1970.xx at some point during today/tomorrow/Monday(latest).  The tricky part here is to figure out my ideal entry point for short (maybe later on this afternoon)

jukifox

luckystar2006 发表于 2016-3-3 10:49 AM
I see ES trading at 1980.25.  I'm 99% sure that ES will hit below 1970.xx at some point during today ...

我觉得现在可以上了，其实刚刚5分钟前就可以了

jukifox

jukifox 发表于 2016-3-3 11:05 AM
我觉得现在可以上了，其实刚刚5分钟前就可以了

好吧，水平有限。看的不准确！这个位置是最纠结的,如果要是下去也应该在这个位置,如果再往上就突破了,跌不下来了

luckystar2006

Not a great entry, but I'm in for a swing trade about few minutes ago.

jukifox

又回到刚刚那个点了，这里要是突破了，，，，，

jukifox

这种上涨是在 逼空吗？1个小时都背离了。。。还不回调。。。难道要跌个大的才来劲！