01/06/2014 Live Update

Cobra

opening statement. $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151287#p151287

Cobra

weekly stock picks are here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01032014-weekly-stock-picks/

Cobra

members only update starts here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01062014-intra-day-update/

源济

华尔街早餐：周一美股盘前必读

　　中日股市重挫。2014年首个交易日日本日经指数下跌2.35%，新年前日经曾连涨九日。资产管理者Yoshihiro Okumura称：“考虑到美元疲弱，如此的跌幅可以理解。”上证综指下跌1.8%，受服务业增长放缓、IPO市场重启及政府改革将如何影响GDP的担忧拖累。

　　摩根大通本周将因麦道夫案遭罚逾20亿美元。因摩根大通未就麦道夫的大规模欺诈行为向投资者发出警告，预计美国检察机构和监管机构本周将宣布对该公司处以逾20亿美元的罚款。上述决定还将包括和曼哈顿地区检察官Preet Bharara达成的一项暂缓起诉协议，决定最早将于周二公布。这将使摩根大通过去一年因不当行为而面临的罚款达到200亿美元。

　　Men's Wearhouse提高收购Jos. A. Bank出价。零售商Men's Wearhouse (MW)将收购Jos. A. Bank Clothiers (JOSB)的出价由11月的每股55美元升至57.5美元，此前的出价已被拒绝。Men's Warehouse还拒绝了Jos. A Bank的提议，后者上周五收盘价为54.4美元，市值为15.2亿美元。

　　波音员工批准协议，新777X将在西雅图生产。波音(BA)机械师以微弱多数批准了协议，他们将放弃部分养老福利，以换取新777X在西雅图生产。如果他们否定协议，波音或考虑在其它地区生产喷气机，波音收到了22州生产777X的邀请。

　　参议院将批准耶伦担任美联储主席。国会今日将在冬歇后重新开始工作，参议院预计将批准耶伦担任美联储历史上首位女主席。同时，参议院民主党议员希望重新延长长期失业者的救济金，这一福利上月到期，130万人受到影响。然而，他们或发现很难获得足够的共和党人支持以通过程序性投票，目前至少有一位共和党议员赞同，但还需要四人的支持。

　　中国地方政府享受银子银行盛宴。在债务可持续性引发担忧之际，中国地方政府进一步从影子银行部门贷款。在约两年半的时间里，中国地方政府总债务升至17.9万亿元，信托融资占比由0升至8%，其它替代性渠道贷款占到25%。中国国务院曾敦促收紧对银行表外贷款的监管，并称信托公司应作为资产管理者，不应参与“信贷类”业务。

　　哈佛经济学家：经济反弹相对不错。主流观点是经济危机后美国经济复苏一直疲弱，但哈佛经济学家Carmen Reinhart和Kenneth Rogoff并如认同，他们认为相比预期经济表现着实不错。在九次主要金融危机期间，人均GDP的平均跌幅为9%，恢复至危机前峰值的平均水平为6.7年。次贷危机中人均GDP的跌幅“仅仅”为5%，反弹用时六年。(谷云)

源济

美股盘前: 周一美股期指大体上扬

　　新浪财经讯 北京时间1月6日晚间消息，周一盘前美国股指期货大体，预示着美股高开。投资者等待美国服务业活动与工厂订单数据。

　　美东时间1月6日08:42(北京时间1月6日21:42)，道琼斯(16469.99, 28.64, 0.17%)工业平均指数期货上涨30.00点，报16,437.00点，涨幅为0.18%；纳斯达克[微博](4131.91, -11.16, -0.27%)100指数期货下跌0.25点，报3,531.25点，跌幅为0.01%；标准普尔500指数期货上涨3.00点，报1,828.50点，涨幅为0.16%。

　　美东时间周一上午10点，美国供应管理协会将公布12月份的非制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)，市场预计该数字姜维55.0%。工厂订单指数也将在上午10点公布，市场平均预期该数字将为1.6%。

　　周一美国参议院将就美联储现任副主席珍妮特-耶伦(Janet Yellen)担任美联储主席的提名进行投票。美联储在12月份会议上决定将每月购买850亿美元资产的计划削减为750亿美元。

　　个股消息面，First Solar(FSLR)与Twitter(69, 1.50, 2.22%)(TWTR)股价走低。

　　纽约商业交易所黄金期货价格上涨1美元，报每盎司1240美元。原油期货价格上涨38美分，报每桶94.33美元。(张俊)

Cobra

members only update at 9:42 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01062014-intra-day-update/

Cobra

stuck in range but one more test of blue line below, it'd likely breakdown. $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151295#p151295

Cobra

morning hourly black bar. $SPY
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151297#p151297

ysc

下去.

Cobra

members only update at 10:06 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01062014-intra-day-update/

ysc

Today's noteworthy downgrades include:

ARIAD (ARIA) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup....
Alliant Energy (LNT) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays...
Apple (AAPL) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Standpoint Research...
BancorpSouth (BXS) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley...
CA Technologies (CA) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Evercore...
CMS Energy (CMS) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays...
eBay (EBAY) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley...
Entergy (ETR) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo...
First Solar (FSLR) downgraded to Sell from Buy at Goldman...
HealthSouth (HLS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James...
Hess Corp. (HES) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho...
HollyFrontier (HFC) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup...
Hologic (HOLX) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley...
Host Hotels (HST) downgraded to Outperform from Top Pick at RBC Capital...
Liberty Media (LMCA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup...
MetLife (MET) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS...
Pernix Therapeutics (PTX) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Cantor...
PetSmart (PETM) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank...
Riverbed (RVBD) downgraded to Hold from Strong Buy at Needham...
Sanofi (SNY) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan...
Sarepta (SRPT) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup...
Twitter (TWTR) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley...
Wendy's (WEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney Capital...
Wisconsin Energy (WEC) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays...
Helmerich & Payne (HP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim...
Halliburton (HAL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim...
Devon Energy (DVN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim...
Core Laboratories (CLB) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim...
Allscripts (MDRX) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at B. Riley...
Teekay Offshore Partners (TOO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Global Hunter...
Aflac (AFL) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse...
Celgene (CELG) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman...
CBL & Associates (CBL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel.

Cobra

this is where those aggressive dip buyers used to come in. let's see if they're still there today. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151310#p151310

Cobra

oops, they're still on vacation. here's 100% mm. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151311#p151311

Cobra

target met. this bear may have legs. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151316#p151316

Cobra

volume surge, biggest red bar, so might rebound here first which likely would be sold. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151318#p151318

Cobra

members only update at 11:29 am, talking about a trading setup.
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01062014-intra-day-update/

Cobra

mini rebound target. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151324#p151324

Cobra

members only update at 11:41 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2014/01062014-intra-day-update/

Cobra

both l1 and l2 failed. rebound stronger than it appears to be. $SPY, $SPX, $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=151338#p151338

90ufo

today some of tradingmkts setup may trigger