本帖最后由 ctcld 于 2013-4-5 09:22 AM 编辑
至于为啥要昨天收盘时买TNA?我在昨天的讨论中已经给出了理由。本来想抢今天强烈的反弹,投机一下,
结果人算不如天算,Jobless数据变坏,加上欧洲盘走得很难看,又因为有早会,我就设了个止赢点结果不久就被震了出来。
后来埋了4个地雷,一个也没引爆,只能叹自己的运气不好。
现在的市场可上可下,比较难做,尤其是 3X 的ETF。
这里转帖一篇,和我的山寨分析异曲同工。
Russell 2000 Vs. S&P 500 Divergence: April Fool's Joke Or Something Else?While their daily performances will typically vary, generally speaking the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 move in the same direction. If one trades higher, the other follows suit and vice versa. Because of this, a lot of investors have sat up and taken notice of the recent divergence between the two. While the S&P 500 traded up modestly on Monday and Tuesday, the Russell 2000 traded down nearly 2%. Given the fact that the Russell 2000 has led the overall market higher, the recent divergence with the S&P 500 has been especially concerning. (click to enlarge) So, is the Russell's recent negative divergence a warning sign of things to come for small caps and the broader market, or was the first two days of this week just the market's way of playing a cruel April Fool's joke? Earlier today, we sent out a report to Bespoke Premium clients highlighting the five prior times in the last 10 years where the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 saw similar divergences over a two-day period. Yes, there have only been five other similar divergences! We then looked to see how each index performed over the following week and month. While the one week results were mixed, the performance of both indices over the next month was, depending on your positioning, either clearly positive or negative.
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