星星来也 （1987）！

wsjboy

FELIX ZULAUF: If The Stock Market Doesn't Correct Soon, Then We Could Repeat 1987

Feb. 14, 2013, 2:01 PM

One of the most striking aspects of the current bull run in the U.S. stock market is the lack of a correction (e.g. 5 percent sell-off) in months.

As stocks close in on new all-time highs, even the most bullish stock market bulls are worried about this.

Swiss hedge fund manager Felix Zulauf is particularly concerned, and he warns if we don't get some sort of sell-off soon, we could see a crash.

He spoke with King World News' Eric King:

...It’s a top building process that we are in.  If the markets do not correct as I expect some time in spring, if the markets would continue to go up, and not be confirmed by internal technicals, then it gets very, very dangerous.

Then we would resemble much more a market situation that has some similarities to 1987 ... I’m just saying we are in dangerous territory, and people should be aware of that and take precautionary steps.”

Zulauf also talks about interest rates and gold.

wsjboy

Notice the timing, his call was "Feb. 14, 2013, 2:01 PM "

现在市场又涨了不少了。

wsjboy

我绝对没有讽刺星星的意思。现在的情况是星星有可能是对的。。。
市场这样涨下去，的确会越来越危险。。。now，1987变得不是完全没有可能。。。我也不是想吓唬大家。。。
我的 CASH LEVEL has already increased。不过我没有做空。

就像老蛇常常说的，“让领导先走！”

bubbleabc

战争是新的触发点

wsjboy

bubbleabc 发表于 2013-3-6 01:32 AM
战争是新的触发点

Korea? Iran?

befriend

6degrees

wsjboy 发表于 2013-3-5 11:56 PM
我绝对没有讽刺星星的意思。现在的情况是星星有可能是对的。。。
市场这样涨下去，的确会越来越危险。。。 ...

你多少%在cash？

大家都在谈论调整，调整就不会出现；大家都在worry 1987，1987就不会重演。

现在离危险还有一定距离，额观天象，还有大约10%好长。到时候欣欣向荣，没有人worry了，大家都习惯时不时有历史新高了，就该躲一躲风头了，现在不要神经兮兮的，呵呵。