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[灌水] 转个AAPL有关的数据

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发表于 2013-1-24 12:24 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


先转贴一个抄来的分析。

Here’s Who Gets Cored If Apple’s 10% Decline Carries Into Thursday
By Brendan Conway


“Cored” may be too strong of a word. But if this evening’s 10% drop in Apple’s (AAPL) stock carries over into Thursday, you can bet we’ll be talking about who’s on the receiving end.

Here’s a selection of popular mutual funds with outsized exposure at the latest disclosure, from a handy dandy list compiled a few weeks back by Morningstar’s Dan Culloton. Keep in mind, some of these funds may have shifted since reporting their positions. But I’ll guess if you were an Apple bull last month, you probably were one heading into this week, too.

Huntington Rotating Markets A (HRIAX), 19% Apple
Matthew 25 (MXXVX), 17%
Janus Forty A (JDCAX), 13%
Invesco Constellation A (CSTGX), 12%

While we’re at it, at least the managers of those funds have the ability to sell if they want to. Not true for these passively managed ETFs:

iShares Dow Jones U.S. Technology (IYW), nearly 20%
Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), 16%
PowerShares QQQ (QQQ), 15%


跟着胡乱说几句。

月线图上迄今连跌四个月,俺觉得下跌的背后是主力在出货。日线和周线上看到的振荡很容易让人忽略月线图上的连续4条阴线。即便以500为支撑的下降三角形没逃过许多人的法眼,可能很多人心理根本不会考虑跌破500的情形。因为AAPL的产品销售依旧强劲,手中一堆现金,中国的移动市场即将全面向AAPL敞开,还有即将面世的iTV。。。

现在500支撑已经在盘后跌破,其后的风险在于,虽然Passively Managed ETF通常不会因为股价波动调整持股的比例,普通的投资基金是采用右侧操作被动跟随市场的方式,股市上升则加仓,股市下降则减仓。今天的盘后暴跌还会促使持有AAPL的基金进一步的减仓,在未来几天形成新一轮的卖压,对抄底和博反弹的小散形成巨大威胁。而主力的操作会利用基金减仓和400-500这段交易量真空区强化卖压,以便在多数人对AAPL丧失信心之后低位承接积累足够的筹码好日后再卷土重来。


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发表于 2013-1-24 12:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
Cool
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发表于 2013-1-24 01:16 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-1-24 01:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2013-1-24 01:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
hmmm. some big boys will be forced to sell to reduce exposure.
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发表于 2013-1-24 01:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
很感兴趣这个低位承接在什么位置?
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 楼主| 发表于 2013-1-24 02:01 AM | 显示全部楼层
KK手记 发表于 2013-1-24 01:45 AM
很感兴趣这个低位承接在什么位置?

从下面的周线图看,三力合一都指向400附近。

AAPL_weekly_20130123.png

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发表于 2013-1-24 02:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
Read0nly 发表于 2013-1-24 03:01 AM
从下面的周线图看,三力合一都指向400附近。


Obviously everyone's eye is on the support @ 420. I doubt it would be able to hold.
The drop of AAPL won't stop until somewhere around 360, a 50% cut from the top.

AAPL is not dead yet, their powder is still dry and potent.
My hunch is that Q2 may shed light on price stabilization.

We all will observe AAPL rising above 1000 mark in 2014.
This will be a bubble engineered by Obama/FED, trust it.

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俺提的400更确切地说是350-400这一区间,同老大的360基本吻合。  发表于 2013-1-24 05:04 PM
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发表于 2013-1-24 02:56 AM | 显示全部楼层
Read0nly 发表于 2013-1-24 02:01 AM
从下面的周线图看,三力合一都指向400附近。

like the volumn showing on left side
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发表于 2013-1-24 10:34 AM | 显示全部楼层
分析得很中肯。

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发表于 2013-1-24 01:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
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