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[转贴] The Long-Term Technical View

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发表于 2012-12-2 06:23 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


12/02/2012 1:20 PM
By Carl Swenlin, Decision Point


At month end we like to look at the monthly chart to refresh our long-term view of the market.

The outstanding feature on the chart is the trading range between about 750 and 1550. Two bull markets have ended their run at the top of the range, and the current bull is only about 150 points below that long-term resistance.

A bit more subtle is the current PMO (Price Momentum Oscillator) pattern. Note how it resembles the PMO patterns around the two previous major tops. This pattern plus the approach of price to long-term resistance, leads us to believe that the bull market has very little time left.

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发表于 2012-12-2 06:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-12-2 10:58 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-12-3 12:12 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-12-3 12:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
Y2K 和 2007年的泡沫都没形成,没有可比性。再者,这张图起码还有两年才见顶。

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Bond market bubble....  发表于 2012-12-3 02:20 AM
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发表于 2012-12-3 09:27 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2012-12-3 05:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
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