美股随笔 2012-07-31

CoolMax

短期看不清楚，就讲讲中期的可能走法吧。

见下图


这两天的小幅调整，对于短期的走势，没有太大的负面影响，所以如果明天会议结果乐观的话，a的走法是可能的。

b是对于会议有比较负面的看法。回调后，恢复升势。

我个人比较担心是c的走法，回调幅度会比较深，也会形成一定的恐慌。选举前慢慢拉起。

瞎掰一下FA，SPX在13XX，对于O8是可以接受的，所以我后市审慎乐观。

图中线段是示意用，Not to scale.

Irene2011

黄老泻

RedCedar

Thanks CoolMax!

大牛Steve

胡同儿串子

阿朱

2brakefirst

jymlo88

dayuangone8

vanbj

chickencoop

heheboy

这个。。。所有的可能性都讲了。。。真晕。。看来还是母鸡。。。今年以来就一直母鸡。。

niufen88

dsp

Thanks. MMs only need to hold index stocks for OB's re-election, which should be easy.

CoolMax

heheboy 发表于 2012-7-31 08:22 PM
这个。。。所有的可能性都讲了。。。真晕。。看来还是母鸡。。。今年以来就一直母鸡。。

重点在c。是我看图的感觉。

CoolMax

dsp 发表于 2012-7-31 09:03 PM
Thanks. MMs only need to hold index stocks for OB's re-election, which should be easy.

是的，我觉得没有人会不满意。

dsp

CoolMax 发表于 2012-8-1 01:06 AM
重点在c。是我看图的感觉。

I think C is possible. Otherwise, there is no room for going up. The problem is many stocks are very low,so WS needs to push down big guys this time.

heheboy

i thought cobra said higher high is on the way,so at least market will go up for new high first (might be with small pullback), then down..that is what i understand from the report...

CoolMax

heheboy 发表于 2012-7-31 09:20 PM
i thought cobra said higher high is on the way,so at least market will go up for new high first (mig ...

如果NH了，就安全了。

我是担心会先走c。