Will SPX hit 200 MA

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-26 01:30 PM

本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2012-5-26 10:50 编辑

If there is 2nd leg-down, I believe it will.
Lao Yao said, 离200天均线这么近，很少有不去撞线的。

Its 1st leg-down ended at 1291.98. A textbook measured length from 1422.38 to 1357.38 (1292 = 1357.38 - (1422.38-1357.38)).

Ed02 · 发表于 2012-5-26 02:42 PM

plankton · 发表于 2012-5-26 04:44 PM

I'm betting on that.
Can't see your chart for some reason.

jlht · 发表于 2012-5-26 05:15 PM

silicon_beaver Lao Da, cannot see your figure too.........

budu · 发表于 2012-5-26 06:03 PM

curiosity2009 · 发表于 2012-5-26 06:08 PM

9号胡同 · 发表于 2012-5-26 08:48 PM

看着不是熊旗么？

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-5-27 01:27 AM

9号胡同发表于 2012-5-26 17:48
看着不是熊旗么？

on daily chart, looks like a bear flag.
on 60-min chart, like a triangle (continuation)

So, no sign of reversal at this time.
Long weekend, waiting for result of Europe political game.

bokchoy888 · 发表于 2012-5-27 10:04 AM

my 2 cents is no, we rebound from here, too obvious ............

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-2 02:51 PM

bokchoy888 发表于 2012-5-27 07:04
my 2 cents is no, we rebound from here, too obvious ............

No. It did hit 200SMA.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-2 02:57 PM

SPX daily chart (I didn't use SPY since no gap discussion here)
Closed below 200EMA, outside lower BB. Next stop could be 1258~1260 (FIB 61.8%). MACD and STO bearish.
Daily chart looks ugly.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-2 02:59 PM

本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2012-6-2 12:03 编辑

SPX Weekly chart.
Stay within up-trend. But all TA over-sold. Also hit lower BB.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-2 03:02 PM

SPX Monthly chart.
The pattern look not good (un-finished triple-top). But TA not bearish yet.

Ed02 · 发表于 2012-6-2 03:08 PM

bokchoy888 · 发表于 2012-6-2 03:32 PM

silicon_beaver 发表于 2012-6-2 15:51
No. It did hit 200SMA.

你就是高，不是我也偷偷从了你了。。。。。

http://www.hutong9.net/forum.php ... &extra=page%3D1

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-3 04:59 PM

What will be Monday?
Last Friday, SPX after three consecutive red days, closed under SMA200, SMA377. down 2.46%.

Monday is with 50:50 chance. either green or red.

Similar cases (by calculating historic data)
05/20/2010, next day green.
10/01/2009, next day red.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-3 05:01 PM

本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2012-6-3 14:49 编辑

05/20/2010, next day green.

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-3 05:03 PM

本帖最后由 silicon_beaver 于 2012-6-3 15:55 编辑

10/01/2009, next day red.

plankton · 发表于 2012-6-3 05:08 PM

Silicon beaver laoda, have you seen this?
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/the ... sell-orders-monday/

silicon_beaver · 发表于 2012-6-3 06:57 PM

plankton 发表于 2012-6-3 14:08
Silicon beaver laoda, have you seen this?
http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2012/06/01/watch-fo ...

Thanks.

From chart pattern, Friday looked more like 05/20/2010, next day green. But following days weak.

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[讨论] Will SPX hit 200 MA

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