07/27/2011 Market Outlook (Rebound maybe but lower close ahead)

Cobra · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:33 PM

SHORT-TERM: REBOUND AS EARLY AS TOMORROW BUT LOWER CLOSE AHEAD

今天市场的形势，0.0.0 Signal Watch and Daily Highlights是最好的说明了：

短期有点超卖了。还记得我的看短期超卖的信号都不是普通的信号吗？所以可能会有反弹，最快明天。
中期不妙，或者更确切的说，反弹，如果有的话，是sell的机会。虽然Non-Stop的primary sell signal并没有触发，但是当其余三个信号，当NYSI, BPSPX and BPNDX都是sell的时候，前景也是非常不妙的，举个例子，最近两次出现这种情况的时候是01/25/2010 and 05/03/2010，特别是05/03/2010，大家应该还记得此后05/06的crash吧？

下面的图都是说最快明天会有反弹（可能幅度还不小），但是还没有跌完。图应该很清楚，就不废话了。

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH JULY

SEASONALITY: BEARISH FRIDAY BUT BULLISH WHOLE WEEK

See 07/22 Market Outlook for more details.

Also see 07/01 Market Outlook for July seasonality chart.

ACTIVE BULLISH OUTLOOKS:

07/01 Market Outlook: Bullish July. Also one more evidence in 07/05 Market Outlook.
07/07 Market Outlook: New NYHGH high means SPX higher high ahead.

ACTIVE BEARISH OUTLOOKS:

~~07/20 Market Outlook: Multiple evidences arguing for more pullbacks ahead. Also 2 more evidences in~~ ~~07/25 Market Outlook~~.
07/22 Market Outlook: Bearish on AAPL, therefore QQQ as well.

SUMMARY OF SIGNALS FOR MY PUBLIC CHART LIST:

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 BUY
Intermediate	3 of 5 SELL	5 of 5 NEUTRAL	Cobra Impulse in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode.
Short-term	UP	3 of 6 *OVERSOLD

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQ & Weekly	UP	*NAMO oversold.
IWM & Weekly	UP	*Beware of 1-2-3 Trend Change.
SSEC & Weekly	UP	Big red bar usually means a start of downtrend, so be careful here.
EEM & Weekly	UP
XIU & Weekly	UP	*Beware of 1-2-3 Trend Change.
DAX & Weekly	UP
TLT & Weekly	DOWN
UUP & Weekly	DOWN
GLD & Weekly	UP
USO & Weekly	UP
XLE & Weekly	UP
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP	4.4.3 Real Estate iShares (IYR Weekly): XHB lags, be careful.
XLB & Weekly	UP	*Beware of 1-2-3 Trend Change.

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:34 PM

Whigs · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:34 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:34 PM

当时惘然 · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:34 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:34 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:35 PM

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:35 PM

littlevivi · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:35 PM

第一页

aimei · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:35 PM

littlevivi · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:35 PM

班长今天很晚出报告，说明有很多很多东西，先顶再看

Elephant · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:37 PM

cc2265 · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:37 PM

frogguru · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:41 PM

第一页

vicvic · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:42 PM

IMeMyself · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:43 PM

thanks

oda · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:44 PM

Jinan90 · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:44 PM

“反弹，如果有的话，是sell的机会”，坚决贯彻老蛇语录。

美眉妹 · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:49 PM

TAXQA · 发表于 2011-7-27 07:50 PM

本帖最后由 TAXQA 于 2011-7-27 22:06 编辑

21日Indu有个HH，为什么一直没提啊？

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[技术分析] 07/27/2011 Market Outlook (Rebound maybe but lower close ahead)