04/07/2011 大盘回顾（More Pullback?）

Cobra · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:20 PM

	TREND	MOMENTUM	COMMENT
Long-term	2 of 2 are BUY
Intermediate	5 of 5 are BUY	5 of 5 are NEUTRAL	SPY ST Model in BUY mode; Non-Stop in BUY mode.
Short-term		6 of 6 are NEUTRAL
GANN DAY	MOON:SOLAR	CYCLE	CONCLUSION
04/11-04/15	04/03 : 04/05	04/04-04/13	Next pivot date: 04/11

BULLISH	09/27 Market Recap: 9 POMO within 20 trading days means 14%+ up in 3 months. 02/23 Market Recap: Pullback could last 4 weeks, then 02/18 highs will be revisited. 03/11 Market Recap: Bullish in 3 to 6 months. 04/01 Market Recap: Bullish April.
BEARISH	4.0.1 SPX Long-term Trading Signals: Weekly EMA(13) is way too high above weekly EMA(34). 03/18 Market Recap: Could see lower low ahead.
My Thoughts	The pullback since 02/22 may last but the 02/18 high will be revisited in 69 calendar days on average.

SPY SETUP	ENTRY DATE	STOP LOSS	INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE. TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU
Non-Stop	03/31 L	N/A	Beware the winning rate is below 50%, it’s the gain/loss ratio that matters.
ST Model	~~03/22 S~~	~~1.9*ATR(10)~~	Stopped out of short position on 03/30 with loss. Poor performance this year, working on better model, will replace this one soon.
Short-term	*?		I hold both long and short overnight.

SHORT-TERM: COULD SEE MORE WEAKNESS AHEAD

我猜可能没有跌完，主要理由是ChiOsc太高了，看看红虚线以后都发生了什么就知道了。

另一个理由是SPY daily图上严格的讲已经有7个reversal like bar了，怎么都说明一些问题吧？下面再把自2009年以来所有重要底部的反弹拿出来看看，这次不是说n vs n（既使是说n vs n，牛牛也没有赢啊），而是注意看蓝色水平线，你有看到哪次是在没有出新高前就整那么多反转棒的？都是一口气就冲过去的，是吧？因此，至少这次上升动力大不如前了，是吧？

INTERMEDIATE-TERM: BULLISH APRIL, SPX TARGET 1352 TO 1381, BEWARE 04/11 TO 04/14 PIVOT DATE

See 04/01 Market Recap for more details.

SEASONALITY: APRIL HAS BEEN HISTORICALLY THE MOST BULLISH MONTH OF THE YEAR

See 04/01 Market Recap for more details.

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST

	TREND	COMMENT
QQQQ&Weekly	UP
IWM & Weekly	UP
SSEC & Weekly	UP	Ascending Triangle, so may go higher from here.
EEM & Weekly	UP
XIU & Weekly	UP
TLT & Weekly	UP
FXE & Weekly	UP
GLD & Weekly	UP
GDX & Weekly	04/05 L
USO & Weekly	UP
XLE & Weekly	UP
XLF & Weekly	DOWN
IYR & Weekly	UP
XLB & Weekly	UP
DBA & Weekly	DOWN

Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
* = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when weekly buy signal is triggered.
DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when weekly sell signal is triggered.

jcs · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:22 PM

本帖最后由 jcs 于 2011-4-7 17:24 编辑

Poo · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:23 PM

happyface · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:26 PM

thanks

49north · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:27 PM

firecs · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:31 PM

so early today. Ding!

qianshui · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:32 PM

Thanks!

dsp · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:33 PM

buy dip. buy dip. Thanks.

dommy · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:34 PM

CoolMax · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:36 PM

Jinan90 · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:37 PM

光顾拜读了，居然忘记抢沙发。

终于账户再开涨，可惜只吃到稀土１／４的涨幅（从不到１０点就在懊恼－－卖的真低）

yubo · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:39 PM

viewer · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:41 PM

michaelzhang · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:41 PM

tonghu · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:41 PM

Diver · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:42 PM

sell the bounce tomorrow!

lehldk · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:48 PM

netfire · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:51 PM

DayDayUp · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:53 PM

cw8888 · 发表于 2011-4-7 04:55 PM

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[技术分析] 04/07/2011 大盘回顾（More Pullback?）

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[技术分析] 04/07/2011 大盘回顾 （More Pullback?）

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[技术分析] 04/07/2011 大盘回顾（More Pullback?）