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| SPY SETUP |
ENTRY DATE |
STOP LOSS |
INSTRUCTION: Mechanic signals, back test is HERE, signals are HERE.
TRADING PLATFORM: SSO/SDS, UPRO/SPXU |
| Non-Stop |
09/07 L |
N/A |
Partial profits on 09/24. |
| ST Model |
09/24 L |
11/08 Low |
Stopped out on 11/09 with profit. |
| NYMO Sell |
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*Short if SPY tomorrow’s open > tomorrow’s close. The stop loss is 2*ATR(10).
Reference only, not meant to be followed. | |
SHORT-TERM: MORE TOP SIGNS
今天又有个top sign以及两个疑似top signs，所以也许可能大概短期could see more pullbacks，因此11/08 Market Recap里提到的2.5%+ pullback (ZigZag 2.5%+)还是有可能的。当然，我知道，大部分人都不会信，从这两天胡同以及我的blog访问量急剧下降就可以看出来了，AAII也显示散户非常的牛，well, let’s see。
先说明天，今天的After Bell Quick Summary里提了一个明天可能bearish的理由，这里还有一个，就是ChiOsc有点高plus trend line as well as MA resistances，因此至少明天早盘会see some weakness。
Now，说说top sign和疑似top sign，陆陆续续说了很多，table above里都有列表，建议重新审视一下列表，因为都是够分量的东东。下面说说今天新增的东东：
0.2.4 Nasdaq Total Volume/NYSE Total Volume，这个是今天的重点，see dashed red line，看看过去NATV:NYTV too high的时候都发生了什么？
0.0.2 Combined Intermediate-term Trading Signals，这个是疑似top sign，我不sure是否算valid trend line以及是否是valid breakout，明天如果这东东继续涨的话，就要小心了。
下面的TED negative divergence，正好符合这两天market pullback的理由，European sovereign debt crisis。Let’s see是否仅仅是巧合吧。
INTERMEDIATE-TERM: SPX MAY SHOOT HIGH THEN FALL BACK TO WHERE IT STARTS WHICH USUALLY IS THE 2ND BUY OPPORTUNITY
See 11/05 Market Recap for more details.
SEASONALITY: LAST 2 MONTHS OF YEAR ARE BULLISH
See 10/29 Market Recap for more details. Also below is the November seasonality chart from Sentimentrader, as requested.
HIGHLIGHTS OF THE OTHER ETFS IN MY PUBLIC CHART LIST
- Please make sure you understand how to use the table above. The purpose of this report is to provide info so contradictory signals are always presented.
- Position reported in short-term session of the table above is for short-term model only, I may or may not hold other positions which will not be disclosed.
- Conclusions can be confirmed endlessly, but trading wise, you have to take actions at certain risk level as soon as you feel the confirmation is enough. There’s no way for me to adapt to different risk levels therefore no trading signals will be given in this report except the mechanical signals such as SPY ST Model.
- * = New update; Blue Text = Link to a chart in my public chart list.
- Trading signals in OTHER ETFs table are mechanical signals. See HERE for back test results. 08/31 L, for example, means Long on 08/31.
- UP = Intermediate-term uptrend. Set when I see at least one higher high and higher low on weekly chart.
- DOWN = Intermediate-term downtrend. Set when I see at least one lower high and lower low on weekly chart.
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狗仔卡
发表于 2010-11-11 08:33 PM
提升卡
置顶卡
沉默卡
喧嚣卡
变色卡
发表于 2010-11-11 08:35 PM
发表于 2010-11-11 08:40 PM
