今日无聊，看看我昨晚的图

Diffusion

回复  Poo

someone said the bull market for grains just starts. do you believe it?
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-13 16:02

    No.

ppteam

回复 61# Diffusion

why? seriously, I think this is a chance.

ppteam

回复 62# ppteam

Rice looks OK. first target is reached, the next one is 12.5

Diffusion

回复  Diffusion

why? seriously, I think this is a chance.
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-13 16:05

    我觉得这次主要是俄罗斯大旱的题材炒作，可是俄罗斯粮食产量仅占全世界产量6%。另外07,08年熊市的时候粮食涨过一轮了，那之后世界粮食生产已经增加了，所以现在没有那么大的缺口。

ppteam

回复 64# Diffusion

but stats show corn acreage will decline next year. I have small position on Dec of 2011 Corn, so I hope you are wrong.

ppteam

回复 65# ppteam

my recent simple biggest mistake is not to long some T-notes. Some people mentioned there's negative divergence between highs of early July and mid July. but who cares, it just broke out.

Diffusion

回复  Diffusion

but stats show corn acreage will decline next year. I have small position on Dec ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-13 16:16

    You use this year's pre-harvest event to speculate next year's post-harvest price?

Diffusion

回复  ppteam

my recent simple biggest mistake is not to long some T-notes. Some people mentioned ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-13 16:19

    I believe technicals reflects fundamentals, not the other way around. Should I say fundamentals? Maybe it's just collective believing.

Poo

ppt, sorry I do not trade commodity future. But in general, i thought the fundamental is good for the grain, corn etc.  just look around the world, the extream weather condition, drought, flood, earthquake.

Diffusion, I think the Russian thing is just a trigger or excuse, US has its incentive and condition to push the price higher. I read somewhere that US and Canada is holding about half of the grain/corn export market.

TA side, I thought your grain and rice chart is looking very good. But I thought you are only DT?

Poo

回复  Diffusion

but stats show corn acreage will decline next year. I have small position on Dec ...
ppteam 发表于 2010-8-13 16:16

some one said the US this year have planned very good corn acreage.
Here is a report I just searched seems confirm this view
https://www.msu.edu/~hilker/outlook.htm

offcause  you can not trust every thing on the internet. You do not know whether they have any bias in their report or not. need more deeper research.

Poo

I believe technicals reflects fundamentals, not the other way around.  Should I say ...
Diffusion 发表于 2010-8-13 16:35

may be that is true. But i find that good FA give you more confidence on you TA.

I guess that is part of way say, give you the bias on your TA

Diffusion

may be that is true. But i find that good FA give you more confidence on you TA.

I guess tha ...
Poo 发表于 2010-8-13 16:52

    Agree. I use FA to pick direction, and use TA to pick entry & exit.

Poo

Agree. I use FA to pick direction, and use TA to pick entry & exit.
Diffusion 发表于 2010-8-13 17:01

that is my way too

but I always been left on the side of highway,
or some times even worst, on the wrong way

Diffusion

that is my way too

but I always been left on the side of highway,
or some times even w ...
Poo 发表于 2010-8-13 17:28

    According to my painful experience, the best entry and exit is always when the latecomers happily jump on the train. :lol

jamesmith

Google的差远了吧
NZX 发表于 2010-8-13 15:13

    是啊, 差好多! 但是进不了freestockcharts, 公司电脑又不能装软件. 请问你知道其他的好网站吗?

NZX

回复 75# jamesmith


    换别的浏览器试试，不成就没辙了，上level2看吧