1. Buy treasury bonds – the safehaven trade will return.
2. Buy income-producing securities – high quality dividend names will be a safe place to hide.
3. Buy consumer staples and foods – consumers won’t stop buying the necessities.
4. Buy ’small luxuries’ – consumers are trading down.
5. Buy the U. S. dollar – still the world’s safehaven currency.
6. Buy eurodollar futures.
1. Sell U.S. stocks in general – U.S. stocks are just too expensive.
2. Sell home-builder and selected related stocks – home prices will fall 10% in 2010 and the stocks will tank with it.
3. Sell big-ticket consumer discretionary equities - consumers aren’t buying luxury goods due to the trade down.
4. Sell banks & other financial institutions – the days of big bank profits and bailouts are over.
5. Sell consumer lenders’ stocks – consumers will continue to deleverage.
6. Sell many low- and old-tech capital-equipment producers.
7. If you plan to sell a home or investment house, do so yesterday.
8. Sell junk bonds.
9. Sell commercial real estate – the real estate bubble is a slow motion train wreck.
10. Sell most commodities – the dollar rally will crush commodities.
11. Sell developing country stocks and bonds – there will be no decoupling.