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[放炮] moodys 说明年银行要亏钱, faint哦

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发表于 2009-12-2 04:04 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


这帮鸟人麻烦真多, 还是早死早超升...tnnd

Moody's: US banks likely to lose money in 2010

On 1:46 pm EST, Wednesday December 2, 2009

NEW YORK (AP) -- Moody's Investors Service said Wednesday that U.S. banks will likely lose money in 2010 as they continue to struggle with mounting loan losses.

The credit ratings agency said U.S. banks have so far only recognized 40 percent of the loan losses they will take between 2008 and 2010.

A surge in bad loans during the third quarter and rising delinquencies point toward defaults again increasing, after showing signs of modest improvements during the first half of the year, Moody's said.

Moody's senior credit officer Craig Emrick said in a statement that banks started to prematurely slow down provisions for loan losses in the third quarter even as evidence pointed toward losses ticking higher again in future quarters.

Mounting losses from all types of loans, ranging from mortgages to credit cards, have significantly eaten into profits at banks for the past two years. Loan losses are likely to remain elevated as high unemployment makes it difficult for borrowers to repay debt.

Moody's estimates that total loan losses will reach $536 billion for the three-year period ending in 2010. Banks wrote off $88 billion of loans as not being repaid in 2008, or about 16 percent of the total three-year estimate. Another $112 billion, or 21 percent, has been written off so far through the first nine months of 2009, Moody's said.

Non-performing loans accounted for 5.2 percent of all loans banks were holding as of Sept. 30. That compares with allowances for future losses equal to 3.6 percent of banks' loan portfolios.

Shares of large, national banks fell in midday trading Wednesday, while regional banks mostly rose.

Regional banks got a boost after a Credit Suisse analyst upgraded the sector, saying he believes loan-loss provisions will likely peak in the fourth quarter. Analyst Craig Siegenthaler upgraded the sector to "Overweight."

The KBW Bank Index, which tracks 24 of the nation's largest banks, rose 0.01 to 44.49 in the afternoon.
发表于 2009-12-2 04:09 PM | 显示全部楼层
没关系,把股市再炒翻一倍,啥损失都回来了。
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发表于 2009-12-2 04:13 PM | 显示全部楼层
Should not surprise anyone. The low rates really helped the banks (much higher lending spread) - I assume it is Ben and Tim's plan - let banks take a breath from collapse. They are not quite helping the borrowers. Banks use the excuse of "higher risk" - not to pass more savings to the borrowers.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-12-2 04:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
人有多大胆, 地有多高产...



没关系,把股市再炒翻一倍,啥损失都回来了。
CoolMax 发表于 2009-12-2 16:09
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发表于 2009-12-2 04:35 PM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-12-2 04:48 PM | 显示全部楼层
how can? borrow from fed at 0.25%rate and buy us government bond at 3.25%,

is not it easy money?
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发表于 2009-12-2 04:54 PM | 显示全部楼层
:(13):
how can? borrow from fed at 0.25%rate and buy us government bond at 3.25%,

is not it easy money?
dara 发表于 2009-12-2 16:48
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发表于 2009-12-2 04:56 PM | 显示全部楼层
这帮鸟人麻烦真多, 还是早死早超升...tnnd

Moody's: US banks likely to lose money in 2010

On 1:46 pm EST, Wednesday December 2, 2009

NEW YORK (AP) -- Moody's Investors Service said Wednesday th ...
soulvirus 发表于 2009-12-2 16:04


KBW still rising
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-12-2 04:57 PM | 显示全部楼层
那些要兑现的烂帐太多. 不兑现可以盖着, 一兑现就露出来了. 比方说, refinance以后, 很多foreclosure的被救了, 也有一些还是顶不住要玩完的. 只要玩完一个, 那些放大出来的坏帐就大了, 杠杆都不知道会不会到100. 也许就大本蛋知道.也许连他也不知道. trade来的钱远远不如蒸发掉的钱多吧, 所以才会有危机.

how can? borrow from fed at 0.25%rate and buy us government bond at 3.25%,

is not it easy money?
dara 发表于 2009-12-2 16:48
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发表于 2009-12-2 05:19 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 新低手 于 2009-12-2 17:44 编辑

盘后金融股因bac又爬起来啦
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-12-2 05:50 PM | 显示全部楼层
这个现实还是不如yy哈。


盘后金融股因bac又爬起来啦
新低手 发表于 2009-12-2 17:19
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发表于 2009-12-2 06:11 PM | 显示全部楼层
it's all about OBS.
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发表于 2009-12-2 10:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
:(13):
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