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楼主: baibai

[讨论] 大盘两种可能的中期走势

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发表于 2009-11-16 08:16 AM | 显示全部楼层


thanks
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-11-16 08:37 AM | 显示全部楼层
4# 随机行走
老蛇骨头里有较重的熊取向...
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发表于 2009-11-16 08:40 AM | 显示全部楼层
6# 面包车

对, 俺们要积思广议...
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发表于 2009-11-16 08:44 AM | 显示全部楼层
俺骨头里也有较重的熊取向
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发表于 2009-11-16 08:46 AM | 显示全部楼层
QWE很久没露面啦哈.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-11-16 07:04 PM | 显示全部楼层
All right.  I myself don't have ability to predict the precise point of Dow in 2019. Here is the logic of my thinking based on that chart, I'm trying to understand the wave structure for this big correction:

From 1982-2007 we were in bull market. It is 26 years, so the correction will take: 26 x 0.382= 10 years or  26 x 0.5 = 13 years
2007+10 or 13=2016-2020
So  the correction could be completed from 2016-2020 (The author of Chan Lun, Li Biao predicted the end will be 2019, 90 years from 1929).   There will be ABC three waves from 2007-2019.
From time point of view, where were are? 2-A instead of B.  Because it is the second wave of big A wave, the index can go up very high. If it is wave B, 50% correction could be the end.

Based on above analysis, I have my vision on current market for mid-term.

I'm sorry if I misled anybody here.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-11-16 07:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
俺骨头里也有较重的熊取向
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发表于 2009-11-16 11:12 PM | 显示全部楼层
不必纠缠于不同意见的争辩。多听听不同意见好。我的问题是,这个B波,会在啥时出现。B波是一定的,有涨就有跌,这是不会错的。
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