关于明天FSLR的option，怎么操作？

overdrunk

希望老大不吝赐教。
我是青蛙，但是昨天想赌一把FSLR的ER。由于不知道是好是坏，所以决定买等量的call和put。想法是这样的：不管明天是上是下，我损失是有限的，但是如果价格动荡很大，我就能从一边获得很大利润，足以cover另一面损失。原来决定买在near the money 的，但是一看太贵。由于资金都被套牢了，所以最后决定买最便宜的，于是各买了几个100的put和210的call。盘后FSLR跌了。但是现在想，肯定跌不到100的。 就是11月也基本没可能到100.那么明天很可能没人call和put都跌啊。还不如直接买at the money的，能锁定利润。
请老大指点我的操作和想法是否正确，并且怎么处理当前的position.
谢谢！

student

your 100 put may be flat, 210 call will be cut half at least. the reason is that after earning,fslr's volatilty will drop

student

correction. you 100 put may doubl if open around 130. good luck.

CoolMax

你用那家Broker？

busywind

is this a straddle?

火凤凰

这笔TRADE如果不冒风险操作, 亏定了. 除非死马当活马医. 冒更大的风险.

yoy_158

1# overdrunk


Don't follow FSLR, so my suggestion may not valid.

Do you think it can be convert into iron-condor?  Not at once, but in sort of lag leg fashion.  Just my 2 cents

overdrunk

4# CoolMax
IB.

overdrunk

7# yoy_158

我都不知道啥是Iron-condor啊。看来马上得学习。

overdrunk

update: sold put even, and call lost almost totally. To cover the loss, sold 4 Dec 100$ put. Anyway, lesson learned. Next time would be better hopefully.

silverado

thanks for sharing

smartll

you need a plan for this.  If I played in the same way, I would win.  But there was no guarantee before knowing the result, of course.

dara

JM2C:

I think you strike price has some problem.

FSLR was traded at 150 before ER, you bot 100PUT and 210CALL, which probably means
FSLR has at least to down/up 25+ , maybe you could break even for your put and call because pretty much at least one side will lose most of value right away.

Not an easy play.

I do not like buy options right before ER, the ER value is too high,if you buy far out of money call/put, usually you need the stock at least up/down 10% to break even.
If it up/down 15%+, you may get 2x 3x profit, if  20%+, you may get 10x. if 30%+, you may get 100x.

And for volatile stocks like FSLR, the barrier is even higher. Does not worth the risk at all.

overdrunk

Thank you very much! I am a new hand and trying to learn. THis is the first time I used option to bet ER. As you can see from my early post, I did not know some basic ideas for playing options right now. THe reason I posted this is I want to learn from you guys. Thanks.

overdrunk

13# dara
How about buy straddle at the money? For example, buy both call and put at 150 yesterday? This is the only guarenteed win I think. But with little profit. For example, yesterday, both call and put sold around $10. Today put up 13.75 and call down 11.30

overdrunk

12# smartll
师傅能不能说说什么样的plan吗？