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[讨论] Sentiment check

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发表于 2009-9-26 10:24 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


Investors Intelligence: too bullish
Spectrem Millionaire Investor Index: neutral
Michigan/Reuters Consumer Confidence: as high as Jan 2008
Fund Flows Data: retail investors are not buying.
Option Traders: too bullish
Rydex Traders: too bullish
Gold Sentiment: favor to break $1000
发表于 2009-9-26 10:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
AAII:

Summary       
“This week's survey saw bullish sentiment rise to 39.1%, below its long-term average of 38.9%. Neutral sentiment rose to 16.4%, below the long-term average of 31.1%. And bearish sentiment fell to 44.5%, above the long-term average of 30.0%.”
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-26 10:36 PM | 显示全部楼层
so based on the Sentiment, I think the rally will continue after correction.
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发表于 2009-9-26 10:43 PM | 显示全部楼层
so based on the Sentiment, I think the rally will continue after correction.
ppteam 发表于 2009-9-26 23:36


Agree. the AAII number was published last Wednesday. Is that a pure coincidence that the Market started to fall on that day? I think big players simply exploited the bearishness of retail investors to make a sharp correction.
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 楼主| 发表于 2009-9-27 12:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
4# Diffusion

The interesting part is, since retail investors are not buying, corporate investors are not buying, so, who is buying?
Hedge fund, and other short term traders only?

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发表于 2009-9-27 10:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 soulvirus 于 2009-9-27 11:20 编辑

You (ppt) are buying with huge position

4# Diffusion

The interesting part is, since retail investors are not buying, corporate investors are not buying, so, who is buying?
Hedge fund, and other short term traders only?

: ...
ppteam 发表于 2009-9-27 01:33
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发表于 2009-9-27 10:33 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-9-27 11:43 AM | 显示全部楼层
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发表于 2009-9-27 12:14 PM | 显示全部楼层
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