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About tomorrow:
- Tuesday has been bear friendly.
- Up 1 day, the next day has 53% chances to close up.
- Down 5 days in a row, the next day has 68% chances to close up.
- Down 5 days in a row, buy SPY at the close, HOLD until the very first day SPY closes up, you have 85% chances to make money with profit factor 3.6 which is good.
目前看是个小牛棒棒,跟这几天的下跌比,显得太小了,因此也许还不是底,所以明天猜小不雅,除非收盘前暴涨(可能性不大,今天TLT继续暴跌,表示长期利率还在上升,这种情况还暴涨,那股市肯定是要涨到天上去了)。
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