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[讨论] Be careful when you read the housing price data

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发表于 2009-4-22 11:27 AM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


The newly released FHFA Feb09 housing index rose 0.7% against Jan09, but Jan09 data is revised at the same time from 1.7% increase to only 1%! Statistically this reported Feb09 number is meaningless given such a wide error range. Personally I suspect that the number has been cooked or manipulated by Fannie/Freddie (since the index only calculates the mortgage sold/guaranteed by 2F), the index has never been revised by more than 0.1% before Jan09!

1Q09m02F.pdf (207.87 KB, 下载次数: 33)
发表于 2009-4-22 11:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
thx
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 11:45 AM | 显示全部楼层
Good catch!
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发表于 2009-4-22 04:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
Thanks!
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发表于 2009-4-22 06:10 PM | 显示全部楼层
cooked number->pump or dump based on number->correct later->pump & dump again

MM惯用的造假手段屡试不爽。坏事干了,屁股也擦干净了。
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发表于 2009-4-22 06:18 PM | 显示全部楼层
不要face啊,不过我们能有什么办法?
谢谢楼主的观察
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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发表于 2009-4-22 07:31 PM | 显示全部楼层
do not tell me this is the reason that the CFO hanged himself this morning
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

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