找回密码
 注册
搜索
查看: 904|回复: 6

market is going down - short term & long term

[复制链接]
发表于 2009-4-16 05:01 PM | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式


I don't know about mid-term, maybe we'll see another high, possibly 8500 to 9000 (Dow).

But short term pull back pressure is big. Retail investors are settled - either in, or still holding out, or shorting. The only change could be, shorters cover as forced. But I don't think there is much danger of that happening - now the shorter left are mostly rich/conservative ones.

long term wise, commercial real estate  is going bust. (GGP is the first one, but just as Bear Sterns, where there's one, there's second, and 3rd, and forth...) The foreclosure buying will see an end very soon, when people can't any more get loans, credit risk goes through the roof, and small businesses go out of window.

So I think shorters will take the opp to unload some positions in short term, and short again when the market goes crazily high again, in a month to 3.
发表于 2009-4-16 07:15 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2009-4-16 07:28 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2009-4-16 07:51 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2009-4-16 08:33 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2009-4-16 08:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

发表于 2009-4-16 08:45 PM | 显示全部楼层
瞎讲,这是大牛市,大大的牛市。涨涨涨。不涨也难。
回复 鲜花 鸡蛋

使用道具 举报

您需要登录后才可以回帖 登录 | 注册

本版积分规则

手机版|小黑屋|www.hutong9.net

GMT-5, 2025-1-13 01:26 PM , Processed in 0.029104 second(s), 15 queries .

Powered by Discuz! X3.5

© 2001-2024 Discuz! Team.

快速回复 返回顶部 返回列表