09/18/2020 Live Update

Cobra

Opening statement $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287324#p287324

Cobra

The members only update starts here: http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2020/09-18-2020-intra-day-update/

源济

谢谢！

Cobra

Members only update at 10:10 am
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2020/09-18-2020-intra-day-update/

ninemao

看样子果果真的是在下跌的半路上，那qqq也至少还有一腿

Cobra

Not sure whether it'll test the yesterday's low or not, believe or not, so far it's much better than the usual day next to a big down day such as yesterday. It's just a range day $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287342#p287342

Cobra

Members only update at 12:10 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2020/09-18-2020-intra-day-update/

Cobra

The line at bottom might not hold $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287356#p287356

恐慌小猪

ninemao 发表于 2020-9-18 09:40 AM
看样子果果真的是在下跌的半路上，那qqq也至少还有一腿

不光是果果，五大天王都不咋地，

ice2000

恐慌小猪 发表于 2020-9-18 11:26 AM
不光是果果，五大天王都不咋地，

五大天王图（昨天收盘，特意把几个FAANGM都看了一下，挺丑的）：

Cobra

Vol surge so is rebounding here but this bear shall have legs $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287368#p287368

ice2000

Cobra 发表于 2020-9-18 12:45 PM
Vol surge so is rebounding here but this bear shall have legs $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmark ...

这次和2008年一样，是orderly retreat， VIX就不怎么涨

Cobra

Strong rebound, the low might be in for today although there could be a higher low revisit which fulfills the "this bear shall have legs" call $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287373#p287373

Cobra

ice2000 发表于 2020-9-18 12:56 PM
这次和2008年一样，是orderly retreat， VIX就不怎么涨

你是说下面会像2008年9月那样的跌？

Cobra

Members only update at 3:38 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2020/09-18-2020-intra-day-update/

ice2000

Cobra 发表于 2020-9-18 02:07 PM
你是说下面会像2008年9月那样的跌？

oh，我倒不是那个意思，而是说这次VIX做了个圆弧底，我认为大机构已经给他们手里需要时间dump的股票都买了put 保险了，这种跌会是不恐慌的orderly retreat，具体retreat到什么地步，只能是走走看看，2007年10月开始的跌不就是这样的吗？

图： 这次跌没有突然性，VIX是表明SPX里面的个股的put 和call activity，由于个股的option非常贵，散户一般要call， put，往往是对QQQ，SPY这样的spread小的index 指数来炒作，不至于能引起VIX走园底。

这种筑底的VIX 模式，是机构准备好了 orderly retreat模式

Cobra

A little resistance here $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287375#p287375

Cobra

Members only update at 3:55 pm
http://www.cobrasmarketview.com/2020/09-18-2020-intra-day-update/

Cobra

Closing statement $SPY $SPX $ES_F
http://bbs.cobrasmarketview.com/ ... mp;p=287377#p287377