Monthly Chart

风行过

If this time is a "recession" time, this time is very different from the past two times.
In the past, whenever monthly bar drop below EMA20 and two month later 8 cross down EMA20, we did a back test EMA8 and we are going down hill. (picture A & B). D never cross down.

This time, EMA8 never get a chance to cross down below EMA20. Cause we never stay down EMA20 long enough. It looks like we have been pull out off the dumpster twice in the roll now.

So officially we are far away from using the R word. How far, at least 4 month!

So frk I am doing it all wrong

源济

Hutong9999

luckyfox

如果 这里不会大的回调，那么就参考2011年。我们假设这里和2011年一样，都是日线的均线走坏了。这里如果想继续走好，就一定要不停的往上拉，直到把所有的均线拉成多头排列，如果这里振荡会让所有均线聚合，那后面就非常不好走了。好我们现在假设市场会振荡上行，这里距离历史高点2133没多远了，想走上去只有那种慢慢的涨，小阳，才有可能。问题是现在的环境和2011是不同的，能不能走出新高不直到。不过今年大选，感觉美国也想维稳。。。。大的波动会有吗？在2070附近仅仅40点范围的回调，真的不敢猜测MM到底怎么想的。在美国加息的大前提下，涨的越高以后挤泡沫的时候跌的就越狠。

trend

rarely people care about long term, practically they like short term, especially like intro-day, I think the minimum goal (for big MMs) is not let it looks ugly.

acoust