ES 牛熊战报 2/17/2016

HappyMoney

牛军真猛, 完全出乎我的想象. 我按照昨晚的计划今天在 1906 做空, 结果被牢牢套住. 不过寄希望明天会有所不同.

Today's directional rally is completely out of my expectation. Now market becomes short term overbought. There are 2 big consecutive unfilled gaps underneath now. I checked the 20 year SPY daily chart. There is never a case of 3 consecutive unfilled gaps. So if tomorrow ES has another gap up above today's high 1927.25, it is a relatively safe short sell. By the way, I measure the gap from open to prior day high or low, not from open to prior day close.

Tomorrow ES trading:
·         Short term ES still has room to the upside.
·         1940~1946 should be a very strong resistance. Prepare to short there.
·         There are 2 big consecutive unfilled gaps underneath. SPY never has 3 big consecutive unfilled gaps in the past 20 years. So if tomorrow ES gap up above 1927.25, the odds are very favor a gap fill.

补充内容 (2016-2-17 11:01 PM):
更正：I measure the gap as the space between 2 consecutive day's high to low, not from open to prior day close.

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acoust