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[灌水] Good news & bad news

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发表于 2016-1-5 11:58 PM | 显示全部楼层


luckystar2006 发表于 2016-1-5 10:07 PM
hmm..... ES is breaking out, but not on the upside as anticipated

It looks more like a dou ...

小时间很像以前的底,但是大时间不一样。所以pattern 可以前面很一样,后面的结果却不同。尤其在consolidation 这种地方,经常会这样,不那么容易根据pattern 来判断。大家都一样,这种地方都是很难判断的地方。

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发表于 2016-1-6 01:29 AM | 显示全部楼层
谁知道金胖子仍氢弹?太不巧了
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发表于 2016-1-6 02:31 AM | 显示全部楼层
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-6 09:14 AM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2016-1-5 10:52 PM
加油!

I'm currently waiting for a big opportunity to arrive so I can take a big trade on the long side.  Short-term signals suggest we are in the 2nd wave down right now.  I'll get ready once the 3rd phase is here.

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thanks, please let us know once the signal out  发表于 2016-1-6 10:12 AM
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-6 09:19 AM | 显示全部楼层
hais 发表于 2016-1-5 11:58 PM
小时间很像以前的底,但是大时间不一样。所以pattern 可以前面很一样,后面的结果却不同。尤其在consolid ...

I totally agree with what you said there.  Speaking of which, I either trade very small or do nothing when both swing and short-term signals are in conflict of each other.  Enough painful lessons learned to the level where I put risk management on top of profits for each trade.
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发表于 2016-1-6 09:21 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-1-6 09:14 AM
I'm currently waiting for a big opportunity to arrive so I can take a big trade on the long side.  ...

From chart, SPY195 will be a good midterm entry for long. But very likely i will switch from short to long today. Too nervous for being a bear. Not good for my health.

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I guess we might have to wait for next week for SPY to reach 195??? In the meantime, I probably swing few times on the down side.  发表于 2016-1-6 10:43 AM
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发表于 2016-1-6 09:28 AM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-1-6 09:14 AM
I'm currently waiting for a big opportunity to arrive so I can take a big trade on the long side.  ...

Do you think the opportunity is close?

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Maybe by middle or the end of next week? I'm not sure yet.  发表于 2016-1-6 10:38 AM
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-6 11:42 AM | 显示全部楼层
Not sure today's down gap will be filled, but I think this intraday (not swing) chart has some more rooms on the upside.
sc1.png

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hopefully green today  发表于 2016-1-6 01:38 PM

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发表于 2016-1-6 02:07 PM | 显示全部楼层
本帖最后由 qunzong 于 2016-1-6 02:10 PM 编辑

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发表于 2016-1-6 02:27 PM | 显示全部楼层
We are in the kind of events (bad news) driven days.   What does H-bomb has to do with the market?    It is just a test.
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发表于 2016-1-6 09:24 PM | 显示全部楼层
唉,SPY195的目标明天可能就要到了。当老大你的swing signal 确认的时候,麻烦你喊一声
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 楼主| 发表于 2016-1-6 10:38 PM | 显示全部楼层
lite1067 发表于 2016-1-6 09:24 PM
唉,SPY195的目标明天可能就要到了。当老大你的swing signal 确认的时候,麻烦你喊一声

I see Futures is dropping >20pts right now.  Short-term signals indicate this has been a 2nd wave down which is the momentum phase, while 3rd wave is in its early stage.  So, I guess more on the downside to come?  So far, we are still missing a selling climax and VIX still hasn't broken out yet.

Too bad that I'll miss most of market activities tomorrow while taking care of errands outside.
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发表于 2016-1-6 10:53 PM | 显示全部楼层
luckystar2006 发表于 2016-1-6 10:38 PM
I see Futures is dropping >20pts right now.  Short-term signals indicate this has been a 2nd wave  ...



haha...... you are gonna be very regretful if tomorrow is a big V day :-)


Let your gf handle all the errands while you handle the $$$$$
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