Will Fed raise interest rate on Wed? and Will market go up or down?
Speculating or My fear is:
(less than 40% chance) No interest rate raise -> market will be really surprised and probably concerned -> sell off first then rally a bit before another big sell off approaching the next Fed meeting
(60% chance) Yes on interest rate raise ->market has been expecting this -> next question is : will Fed send message on future raise? -> most likely Fed won't give market clear message on the next rate raise -> likely see some rally for a while then sell off approaching the next Fed meeting; it is not surprising to see a big sell off directly without any rally.